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Poll List: ICM show Tories back up to 40%

March 6, 2010 7:33 pm

Author:

Alex Smith

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By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982

UPDATE: Another poll for tomorrow’s papers, the YouGov daily tracker, apparently has: Con 38 (nc), Lab 33 (+1), LD 17 (nc). Translated to a general election on a uniform swing, that would also result in a hung parliament, with Labour on 298 seats to the Tories 284, and Labour 28 seats short of a working majority.

A new ICM poll for tomorrow’s News of the World shows the Tories back up three points to 40%, with Labour up one point to 31%. The Lib Dems are down two to 18%.

Translated uniformly to a general election, the new poll would result in a hung parliament, with the Tories 6 seats short of a working majority on 320 seats, and Labour on 260, according to the UK Polling Report’s Swing Calculator.

Below the topline, 57% of people said they expected to watch at least one of the live televised debates. 48% of people expect David Cameron to win the debates, while 23% think Gordon Brown will win and 12% say Nick Clegg. I expect the Lib Dems will be the ultimate winners from the TV debates, however, due to an unusual level of exposure.

UK Polling Report has more.

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