Taking 2012 predictions to their logical conclusion…

January 1, 2012 9:00 am

2011 was one of the most unpredictable years on record. Well, strictly speaking, that’s not true; it was every bit as unpredictable as every other year, but lots of newsworthy things happened that people wouldn’t have dared predict a year ago today.

Fortunately, I’m braver than any coward you were reading a year ago, so here are my predictions for the next 364 days:

- Owen Jones will write a follow-up to Chavs called Trots: The Demonization of the Middle Class.

- In a blogpost (who for, I do not know), Dan Hodges will claim he has used the Large Hadron Collider to come back in time and warn us all about the electoral abyss the Labour Party face under Ed Miliband in 2015. The police pick him up in the early hours of the following morning on Whitehall, telling someone he needs their clothes and their motorcycle.

- At a G8 meeting, David Cameron and Nicolas Sarkozy have a fight. Merkel pulls Sarkozy back by one arm, shouting “He ain’t worth it, Nici!”

- Nick Clegg will… something, something, something. No one cares, and by this time next year, we’ll have forgotten who he is anyway.

- After realising that, after two years in power, the most David Cameron has ever been held to account is that guy from the One Show asking him how he sleeps at night, Ed Miliband will step aside for Adrian Chiles. The PLP will rush through their overwhelming, unchallenged support for him before anyone can point out what a terrible mistake they’ve made.

- Blackburn Rovers will be relegated.

- Syria will change its Facebook status to “It’s complicated”.

- At a fortunately timed by-election, Adrian Chiles will become Labour’s newest MP in order to properly fulfill his role as leader of the opposition. The CLP had rushed through their overwhelming, democratic support of his selection. On a timetable set by Labour Party HQ. On a shortlist of one.

- Nick, erm, whathisface, you know… leader of the Lib Dems? What’s he called? Anyway, doesn’t matter. He does something. I forget what.

- Andrew Lansley announces plans to cut hospitals. All of them. “We’re going to turn them into unused mansions people aren’t allowed to squat in,” he announces, gleefully.

- At his first PMQs, Chiles uses his first question as Leader of the Opposition to ask David Cameron what he likes to do in his spare time.

- The Olympics happen. Whoever is London Mayor says it goes well. The one who lost says it goes badly. They both have points.

- As a result of being absolved of any wrongdoing by Essex Police, Chris Huhne is given a well deserved promotion to Foreign Secretary.

- The summer brings more riots to London, this time more politically motivated, as participants in the unrest rally around Nigel Farage’s calls to leave the EU. Commentators put this down to poor refereeing during England’s Quarter Final defeat to Portugal in Euro 2012.

- Labour leader Adrian Chiles will pledge to take Miliband’s ‘blank sheet of paper’ to its logical conclusion by entering the next election with a no policies whatsoever. The triumphant crescendo of his conference speech is: “Go home and don’t prepare for anything. Zilch. Nada. Nothing!”

- Rather than the usual standing ovation given to a leader’s conference speech, Labour members’ react by simply slapping their own foreheads.

- Front page of The Independent on Thursday the 4th October will report how a loud facepalming noise emitting from Manchester the previous day produced a sonic wave that will affect weather patterns in Borneo.

- In his Autumn statement, George Osborne uses the word “die” 327 times, unprecedented for a Chancellor’s budget speech.

- Riding high in the polls, David Cameron calls Parliament to dissolve. He needs over 50% of MPs to support a motion for a General Election. With the public and several of their frontbench team having forgotten who leads them (Sarah Teather calls him “Nigel Clough” on Question Time the week before), the Lib Dems do not back the proposal. However, with a buoyant Labour Party reaching a heady 14% in the polls (third, behind the SNP), Adrian Chiles orders a three-line whip on Labour backing the bill.

- Gnereal Election called for December 12th.

- During a patriotic speech to people outside a BHS in Macclesfield, in which he claims to bleed the colours of the Union Jack, David Cameron cuts himself with a shard of glass to reveal he does actually bleed the colours of the Union Jack. People vomit and flee the scene.

- The following day, Alex Salmond will also make a patriotic speech by a river in Dundee, in which he claims to only bleed the colours of the Scottish flag. Just as he is about to cut himself, he inadvertently revers to the river as a “Loch”. People vomit and flee the scene.

- The day after that, the leader of the Liberal Democrats also has a speech.

- The Labour Party romp to victory in the General Election, with 87% of the vote. The first piece of legislation to be passed is the abolition of the monarchy, effectively making the office of Prime Minister the President of the United Kingdom.

- LONG LIVE ADRIAN CHILES, OUR BELOVED HEAD OF STATE.

- Kim Jong-Un will kill us all.

We can tick them off as we go. Now, pass the berocca.

  • Anonymous

    Plausible predictions all in all although the final augury foretelling a general election win for the Labour Party any time soon seemed a tad far-fetched and fanciful and sounded a bit made up to me.

  • Anonymous

    For labour to attack the SNP for being more socialist then it has been is really a bit rich…

  • Anonymous

    They say satire is dead……

    ….and they’re right!

  • Anonymous

    Sounds like the makings of a soap opera Conor, along the lines of 80′s alternative comedy?

    Wonderful stuff- your talents clearly extend beyond politics!

    PS.Who’s A Chiles?

    Thankyou for setting a less serious tone for 2012…..we could all do with a laugh.

    Happy New Year- anything is possible!

    Cheers, Jo.

  • derek

    Hee Hee Conor, predicted politics.

    1/ Europe, will become entrenched by mistrust Cameron will find himself in an uncontrollable situation as the right wing of his party demand that referendum to withdraw from Europe.

    2/Though all the good will in the world to try and ensure a successful Olympics is had, the real failure will be a cost to far, leading to real ding dong battle over the organisers, committee, the politics and the people.

    3/The summer depression will  bring about the next G’E', THE LIBERALS WILL EVENTUALLY, try and restore some faith by sacking Clegg and reinstating Charles Kennedy as leader.

    4/ A general election will be called for in May 2013

    5/ Ed-Milliband grasped the moment and puts forward a clause four initiative, a massive investment for jobs and new technology.

    6/ Charles Kennedy, Lord Owen and a number of senior Europeans agree with Ed, May the 7th 2013, order is restored in Britain, Labour win a landslide GE, Scotland settles on full fiscal responsibility and the Union remains .  

    7/ May the 10th 2013 the tories break up, fragmented into pieces, never again to darken the road of progress, those dark satanic lot are gone, Yippppeeeeee!!!!!!

    • Anonymous

      You got me thinking around no.6 Derek….certainly a wider consensus,
      grasping the nettle on the basic issues- especially jobs, housing and opps/education
      for young people.

      Also I’d like to see DC and GO upstaged and outclassed;
      all political speeches and spin desconstructed…..
      a balanced media might be too much to hope for!

      Finally- we need to hear an ongoing public debate
      about where we all see ourselves; options and choices ahead.
      People themselves have to set that agenda too;
      it’s been far too passive for too long.

      Happy 2012 Derek- always appreciate your humour
      and good hearted outlook.

      Jo

      • derek

        All the best @Jo:twitter   I raise a class in memory of those no-longer with us today! Here’s tae us and a better tomorrow. Derek and family.

        • Anonymous

          Hi Derek, thankyou- a very good thought.

          Yes, a few kindred spirits still out there;
          let’s hope something stronger will emerge
          through this long drawn out process….

          Hope 2012 brings hope and happiness;
          all the very best to you and your family
          in sunny Scotland!

          Best, Jo. 

          • derek

            Thanks @Joanne28:disqus , there is a flip side to my piece?

            1/ Things get so strained in Europe that Britain has that EU referendum.

            2/ the opt out win the day.

            3/ Cameron then puts operation Empire Britain into swing, as EU trade agreement are in tatters, Cameron and co initiate operation British common wealth, which really means at least a decade or more of austerity and the shaky position whether if or not the commonwealth project would work?

            4/ While across the pond, America under Obama is still struggling, with it’s economics, resulting in a republican win, that flexes it’s muscles rather than intellectual working power, starting a bombing raid on Iran and forceful talks with China, while hardening it’s sanctions on North Korea.

            5/ Net result, North Korea attacks the South, America is drawn in at once, China stands with it’s allies and, well and?????

            P.S. sorry @Jo but there’s always two sides to the coin and the other side could well be very ugly indeed.

          • Peter Barnard

            @ Derek (and Hazico),
             

            It’s too late for me to string the ol’ grey cells together to comment on your predictions, DB, but I wish both you and Hazico a good 2012.

          • derek

            @Peter Barnard, all the best !
            If I could have one true prediction, I’d really like to see you in Westminster @Peter, Here’s tae you for there’s nae tae many like you. Happy newyear @Peter Barnard.

          • Anonymous

            Hi Peter- so sorry I didn’t see this earlier;
            still busy times here…..

            Happy 2012 too to you both.

            Jo

          • Anonymous

            Thankyou Derek; I guess there are always underlying possibilities which need great checks and balances….

            I’d prefer to think of more hopeful outcomes?

            Anyway, as ever, food for thought.

            Hope it’s a good year for you and yours Derek.

            Jo

      • GuyM

        To “upstage and outclass” DC and GO you need a completely new opposition front bench…..

        As to a balanced media, get the public to buy more left wnig newspapers then you get your balance. Of course that means you need more Labour voters who can read….

    • http://twitter.com/Newsbot9 Newsbot9

      1/ The EU vote is called, and blatantly bought for leaving.
      2/ Scotland leaves the Union. Wales follows. NI erupts into violence.
      3/ The economy collapses entirely
      4 / A general election is called, the LibDems are annihilated, but the Gerrymandering returns a slim Tory majority. More changes ensure a permanent parliamentary majority for the Tories.
      5/ I leave the country, along with millions of other smart people.

      • derek

        A guid new year to you Newsbot9, so where’s the best place to go.

        • http://twitter.com/Newsbot9 Newsbot9

          I’ll go to Israel. Where at least my vote for the left will produce some legislators who represent me.

          • Anonymous

            And what a loss to the UK that would be lol

  • Anonymous

    I predict that Liam Byrne will persuade to Ed Miliband, in order to improve his flagging rating in every poll, to promise a witch-hunt in respect to “benefit claimants” by conflating all such people with a tiny  minority of scroungers who refuse or continue to dodge work.

    He will probably make a big thing about “coming clean” and publicly “owning up to past  mistakes” before stating something about the Labour Party “blundering by not doing enough to combat the work-shy and failing to be tougher on the “underclass”. 

    I bet will mention the “contributory principle” and sympathise with the plight or “hard-working families” before stating that citizens applying from help from the welfare system should receive such help if and only if they have paid their taxes first.

    Ed Miliband will try to out Tory the Tories as far as welfare goes.

    (While creeps like Liam Byrne and his old friend James Purnell applaud from the wings.)

    So mote it be.

    I am NOT joking.

    • derek

      @Jeff, I really hope they do some case study before this goes ahead? up here in Scotland it’s been a disaster as floods of workfare people drop lie flies. Here’s one case close to my constituency, a man with chronic 
      Emphysema was forced to take a job in a local factory on his first day he had to report to the main office where he was met by a team leader who then took him a 50 yard walk into the shop floor by the time he got to the shop floor the individual fainted, an ambulance and medical team were called and the man was rushed to hospital with breathing difficulties.

      • Anonymous

        Exactly, Derek.

        I know people in the same boat. For example I personally know a gentleman who suffers with angina. He’s in his late fifties but despite his cardiac problem is still fit enough to do light work as a manager or do some kind of administrative or clerical work and yet despite making hundreds of applications to employers since being made redundant two years ago for all kinds of light work has yet to be offered one single interview from any of them. He has an impeccable work record prior to his redundancy and a completely clean slate as far as his behaviour as an employee goes and yet nobody will touch him simply because of his minor health problems and the fact he is just shy of sixty.

        So is Ed Miliband going to accuse this person of “fecklessness” and cut his meagre benefits (such as they are) in order to “encourage” him to stop “choosing to be unemployed”? Or will it be a diet of workfare on the chain gang picking up litter beside roads and similar? The man I mentioned desperately wants to work and has been on every government scheme going giving every one of them 100% effort but is being denied work by every prospective employer because of health and age related issues which have no remedy – he can’t drink from the fountain of youth to become younger or be cured of inoperable angina pectoris.

        Benefits in this country are amongst the lowest in Europe and the vast majority of the unemployed do want to work and are not “choosing” to live in the lap of luxury on less than £10.00 per day max. Creating more better paid jobs and opening them up to more people – both older and younger – will reduce “welfare dependency” infinitely better than brutalising them and driving them into penury and destitution. 

        This is truly desperate and diabolical stuff from Miliband.

        For once I really haven’t got the words.

        • derek

          Absolutely @Jeff, through the grape vine I hear that employers are running scared of insurance costs. Not to mention the lack of jobs and demand in goods.

          • Anonymous

            Apparently about £16.5 billion of benefits went unclaimed in the recent past. Odd, eh? With all those “scroungers” on the make for all they’re worth 24/7? This is low stuff though, Derek, even for someone who has so ineptly painted themselves into a corner like Ed Miliband.

          • derek

            Agreed again @Jeff, they make claims so difficult to understand and offer very little help to those that need to claim.

          • derek

            I think the best thing for Byrne to do, is leave a note somewhere close to Ed’s office saying he ran out of ideas and needs to resign.

          • happy.fish

            Only resign???

    • http://twitter.com/Newsbot9 Newsbot9

      Why refuse to name them? They’re the usual Tory suspects.

      Throw the fucker out and I might vote Labour. Until then, anyone calling yourself a Labourite? You’re part of the problem.

      • happy.fish

        What about a labourleft?

  • http://twitter.com/jruddy99 John Ruddy

    This might be pedantic, but the “bloke from the One Show” who asked Cameron how he managed to sleep at night was not, Adrian Chiles, but Matt Baker. In fact, Chiles left the BBC before the General Election in 2010!

  • Anonymous

    It’s never too late Peter!

  • derek

    You’ve got to be kidding me @Peter Barnard, You have a brilliant answer on all your posts and never negative, Jeez! your a fisher of men and I’m a listener and follower.

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