The Lib Dems are a recipe for an implosion

May 1, 2012 4:48 pm

‘You know where you are with a Tory’ is a phrase I often hear in Newcastle. Admittedly we don’t have many of them here in the North East, but the phrase tells you as much about our main opponents – the Lib Dems – as it does about the Tories. The Tories, regardless of your opinion on them, have a clear ideology which is different to Labour’s. But the Lib Dems have become known here as the ‘slippery’ party.

Having ‘many faces’ has been a source of Lib Dem success and is now at the heart of their crisis. Labour lost control of the City Council to the Lib Dems in 2004 on the back of both local and national issues, where in both instances Labour were seen to be out of touch. They soaked up an anti-Labour vote from both Conservative and Labour supporters and as such set about trying to please both sets of voters. They often selected candidates who were prominent local people involved in community campaigns, attracted with the call ‘don’t worry, you don’t have to be political to be a Lib Dem councillor’.

So today the Lib Dems find themselves a curious collection of those on the right, those on the left, and a not insignificant number of ‘swing politicians’ who would identify as ‘none of the above’. There are a number of reasons why this is recipe for an implosion.

Firstly, as a loose collection of people it is difficult by definition to stick together. While we haven’t seen as many high profile public defections and denouncements in Newcastle as elsewhere, they Lib Dems did lose two of their ranks who became independents and a number who have chosen not to stand again. Many of their activists, who were motivated to get involved by a sense of “non-politics”, have now hung up their leafletting bags.

Secondly, this loose association of people makes the Lib Dems ill-suited to actually be in charge and make tough decisions. We know from the Council we inherited that they avoided any decisions where there would be a public backlash, and have left us a series of even tougher challenges to deal with as we try to deal with Government cuts. “I only want to take decisions that will make people happy” was a phrase often attributed to one of the Lib Dem council leaders in Newcastle.

Thirdly, they have now lost their ‘clean hands’ as their fingerprints can be found all over a budget that takes from the poor to give to the rich. They are no longer the ‘good’ alternative, the ‘voice of conscience’ in British politics. They have allowed themselves to be defined as a right wing apologist party, and as a result people disillusioned with mainstream parties will find other alternatives such as independents, extremists or just not vote at all. In this respect the Lib Dem betrayal of the electorate over issues such as tuition fees has done mainstream, stable politics as a whole a great disservice.

Fourthly, their time in Government is exposing their shameless approach to campaigning. Harriet Harman has rightly pointed out the hypocrisy of Lib Dems campaigning against things they have agreed to in Government. In Newcastle we have observed them claiming credit for Government achievements but distancing themselves from unpopular decisions – in one leaflet trumpeting the Pupil Premium and raising of the income tax threshold, in the next one saying “local elections are ONLY about LOCAL issues”. I remember a lot of Lib Dem leaflets in 2004 / 5 making Iraq the deciding factor of the election, and leaflets in 2008 / 9 saying “don’t vote for Brown’s candidate here”, so for Labour what’s sauce for the goose should be sauce for the gander (and we’re not nearly as good as exposing Lib Dem hypocrisy as we should be). On occasion it might be right for local parties to take a different line from their party nationally, but when people at the Cabinet table do it – with Vince Cable the master of this new dark art – it undermines the principle of collective responsibility.

Fifthly, for us that dance is being played out locally where we have local Lib Dems involved with the Coalition. Lord Shipley is probably the most respected Lib Dem politician in the City. I have never heard a word said against him. His leadership of the Council was statesmanlike and he is well regarded across the public, voluntary and private sectors. However, the newly appointed Government advisor Lord Shipley has voted in the Lords to cut Legal Aid, taking much needed help from the residents of this City. He has backed controversial plans for welfare reform and voted to dismantle our NHS. He said confidently three years ago that he could see no reason why Newcastle needed an elected mayor, but is now a leading voice in the ‘yes’ campaign. It is distressing to see such a well-respected politician shred his credibility and reputation, and for what? To be an unpaid adviser to a Government he doesn’t believe in.

Sixthly, at least some of the Lib Dems believe in this coalition and what it is doing. So called ‘Orange Book’ Liberals have plotted for years to privatise the NHS and introduce a system of private insurance. Those Lib Dems – of which we have a few in Newcastle – will be cheered by what this Coalition is up to: privatising our NHS, police and schools. Not so cheered by these developments are the voters who thought the Lib Dems were on their side.

The challenge is now for Labour to do more than simply wait for the Lib Dems’ own problems to work in our favour. We cannot just take solace in the (all too familiar) crashing poll ratings of the Lib Dems. We must offer our own positive, progressive alternative.

We are fighting these local elections street by street across Newcastle, based on our record over the past year and the pledges that we’re making for the years ahead – such as introducing a replacement for EMA, paying a Living Wage to Council employees, freezing Council Tax and building new Council houses. We have a manifesto, developed by our Group, which meets the challenges our city faces head-on. We know what we want to do, and why we want to do it – above all it’s about creating a fairer, more just society. And people know that’s what Labour stands for.

Nick Forbes is Leader of Newcastle City Council

  • Johndclare

    Thank you for this revealing article – and how polite! 
    ‘A recipe for implosion’ – I would have considered ‘dissembling frauds’ a better description.

  • Annie Moisty

    Sixthly? You waffler. Go and knock some doors.

    • treborc1

       tell us more?

  • Sdrpalmer

    Can we have a National Debt calculator as a fixture on the home page, please?
    I know it is probably 10 years too late, but better late than never.
    Thanks.

  • Jeremy_Preece

    Nick, this is an interesting and well rounded article.
    The basic problem of the LibDems goes way back. In 1997 they were part of the anti-Tory front and a lot of tacticle voting went on so that in areas where Labour couldn’t get a foothold, voters inclined to Labour would vote LibDem to keep the Tories out. This is true of palces such as the Southwest of England.

    Of course, this third party could not grow much bigger by only being able to win protest anti-Tory votes in some areas of Britian, and so they at the same time needed to make inroads into the Labour vote. In effect, this made them fight on two very different fronts which made their policy areas very difficult.
      
    The stance the the LibDems took on Iraq for example, started to make LibDems look like they were to the left of New Labour and as such made them attractive to places like your area Nick, where the Tories aren’t going to do very well, and LibDems could cut into the Labour vote. This positioning of themselves to the left of centre made them unacceptable to the non-Labour voters and so they lsot seats in places like the South, where those who had previously voted LibDem tended to vote Tory.

    To be honest there were quite a few things that the LibDems promissed in 2010 which appealed to Labour voters, which made LibDem’s role in the coalition totally unpalatable to areas such as yours Nick. In the end, the electorate do not like to feel that they have been lied to and so the U-turns which occured within days of the last election saw the LibDems loose credibility. So on your patch Nick, I agree, Labour should be winning back a load of support which had gone LibDem.

    Down here in the South of England the situation is very different. Labour lost votes to the Conservatives and not to LibDems. It is true that the anti-Tory vote was split LibDem/Labour but in most areas it is the Tories who are the ones to beat.

    You are quite right in saying that Labour needs to have a strategy in place. We need some flagship policies, and some statement of political position. Just as you say that we can’t wait in areas such as yours for the LibDems to implode, so down in here in the South we can’t wait for the Tories to just keep on alienating voters. Soi some clear Labour leadership is clearly needed, and fast. The results of the local elections tomorrow will be quite telling, although I do not get a very good feeling about the London Mayor election.

    Two further points, firstly that no party is made up of one opinion. I agree that the Tories as a tribe are of one sort, priase the rich and take from the poor to reward the rich, divied and rule, privatise just about everything and run it for the benefit of the shareholders and the rest can go to the wall… and so on. But don’t forget that there are a lot of factions within the Tory party and we saw in the 1990′s and the 2000′s just how divided they are. Labour is also made up of different factions to the point that most discussions on this web-site will end in people calling each other Blairites or outdated neo-communist socialists. In the case of Labour, you only have to be involved in electioneering to see just how different Labour and Conservatives are as people. This is not a social class thing at all, it is a matter of basic decent values which all Labour memebers I have met seem to ahve, verses the Tory values of “sod the poor they just lazy and deserve a good kicking”. In the case of LibDems, well, there is no typical LibDem as far as I can see.

    My final point is that in the South we hear LibDems (and in some cases Tories) trying to distance themselves from their national leadership. As you say, it is “this is only about local issues” line which translates into “we are ashamed of our party but don’t have the guts to come clean”.

    Down here, the LibDems are also trying to tear into the Conservatives over local issues and at the same time be the apologists of policies that they instinctively hate nationally, and are the opposite of what they promissed in 2010. In short, to support the Conservative nationally, and oppose them locally.  It is an absurd position which I don’t think can win, but by this time on Friday I think that we will know the answer for sure.

    I suspect that Labour will make some gains, the LibDems will make some losses and the Conservatives will make far less losses than tha LibDems, but we will have to wait and see. I also think that if we had a clear policy direction (not necessarily detail) and a strong dynamic leader, then we would be pulling the rug out from under both coaliton partners.

  • carolekins

    Great stuff: hope you do well on Thursday.  I’ll be coming up from Durham with some others to help.  When I asked one of our local Lib Dems why his government was imposing a ‘bedroom tax’ on council tenants, he replied that it wasn’t his government.  No doubt this is the tack they’ll be taking in oiur elections next year.

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