Time travel does not yet exist. But the Tories are doing their best

October 8, 2012 10:32 am

This weekend, partly to escape the twin mountains of laundry and dishes that built up in my flat during Conference (seriously, readers. Send Kim and Aggie or my Nan or something, I beg of you), I went to see Looper. It’s an OK-ish sci-fi – it’s set in the future, and life sucks there. Especially if you’re a woman. There were only three in the whole film, and they existed for the following purposes: one was a mother, another a prostitute and the third a wife/ministering angel. Anyway, I digress – the theme of the film was being able to see a person’s future. Scary Old Guy From Dumb & Dumber tells Joseph Gordon-Levitt how when he met him as a child, he could see the way his life was going, and took him under his wing to prevent him going down a bad path.

I bring this up not because I’m trying to turn LabourList into a film review blog – the various attempts to politically define Batman are wearying enough – but because, like Scary Old Guy, we can all see where the future is heading. And it looks a lot like the past.

I spoke at a Conference fringe event about a woman who contacted me to say that she was considering giving up work. Not because she was ‘workshy’, as today’s Express helpfully characterises it – quite the opposite: despite being the sole carer for a young baby, she worked part-time because she loved her job, and had been in work since she was a teenager. The problem was, she wasn’t sure if she could afford to carry on working.

A lot of maths later, it turned out she was right – she’d be £50 a week better off if she wasn’t in work. Not because benefits pay so well as to outshine her earnings, or because housing benefit would cover all of her rent – it wouldn’t, even under the current rules, even if she was on income support – but because the cost of childcare is so prohibitive. This is not progress.

No help at all is coming to women like this who are struggling with the rising costs of living and having a family. The further cuts to working-age welfare promised in today’s papers (where? Where are they going to come from? What else can they cut? Are they going to invent even more new benefits just so they can cut them?) will, if they’re anything like what we’ve seen already, hit women and children hardest. Every cut, every rise on the price of existing, sends us all, and women in particular, further and further back in time.

The comments on abortion made over the weekend are on a similar theme. I’ve been a little concerned by the argument that we should simply ignore Jeremy Hunt’s 12-week claims: hard as it is to believe, the man is the Health Secretary, not an online troll or a kid throwing a tantrum in Asda. What’s more, far from being a stand-alone remark, his comments were accompanied by a whole suite of Tory suggestions regarding how far, exactly, the government might like to strip back women’s rights.

Abortion does seem to be one of those issues that keeps trying to come back – the last Commons vote on this was in 2008, and no new scientific evidence has emerged since then, whatever Hunt says – but we’re at risk, as women in particular, of having to make any number of old arguments all over again. Yes, we still have a right to choose. Yes, we still need someone to watch the kids while we’re at work. Yes, sadly, we still need rape crisis centres and shelters. We’ve been over this. It saddens me that some of the battles our grandmothers thought they won seem to need re-fighting.

Labour needs to stand our ground in these battles. One Nation, right? Ed assured us that the NHS act will be repealed under Labour – we need some of that kind of commitment when it comes to welfare and, yes, on women’s hardest-won rights, including abortion, as well. Otherwise: I have seen the future, and life sucks there. Especially if you’re a woman.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ZPXYLRVP4XOIGGDJWAL6HUO7U4 David

    I assume in the author’s idealised future world that the abortion limit continues to be extended, ultimately to full term, all in the name of “progress”.  No?  Then why the assumption that any suggestion of a reduction equates to seeking prohibition in the procedure?  This is a disappointingly narrow-minded article.

    I would hope never to experience a question, alongside my wife, to which the answer is “abort”, but I believe most people accept that such situations exist and must be permitted in law to allow safe and appropriate surgery and counselling to take place.  However, I also believe most people recognise that there is nothing set in stone about the arbitrary limit currently set in place, (nor indeed is there about the 12-weeks suggested): of course there will be occasional scientific developments that influence these views, but short of us advancing our understanding of the brain and consciousness forward faster than we have done so over the last 50 years in the next few years, this will remain a moral and political decision based on societal expectations, and it is reasonable to expect this limit to be moved periodically (forward and backward) based on the temporary equilibria of the appropriate generation’s views.

    To expect an “upward-only” ratchet, where any reduction is ridiculed as going “back in time” does not represent helpful or mature debate.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ZPXYLRVP4XOIGGDJWAL6HUO7U4 David

    I assume in the author’s idealised future world that the abortion limit continues to be extended, ultimately to full term, all in the name of “progress”.  No?  Then why the assumption that any suggestion of a reduction equates to seeking prohibition in the procedure?  This is a disappointingly narrow-minded article.

    I would hope never to experience a question, alongside my wife, to which the answer is “abort”, but I believe most people accept that such situations exist and must be permitted in law to allow safe and appropriate surgery and counselling to take place.  However, I also believe most people recognise that there is nothing set in stone about the arbitrary limit currently set in place, (nor indeed is there about the 12-weeks suggested): of course there will be occasional scientific developments that influence these views, but short of us advancing our understanding of the brain and consciousness forward faster than we have done so over the last 50 years in the next few years, this will remain a moral and political decision based on societal expectations, and it is reasonable to expect this limit to be moved periodically (forward and backward) based on the temporary equilibria of the appropriate generation’s views.

    To expect an “upward-only” ratchet, where any reduction is ridiculed as going “back in time” does not represent helpful or mature debate.

    • Brumanuensis

       The limit is not arbitrary; it reflects the current viability limit of a human feotus, which has scarcely changed since the law was last amended in the late 1980s. Like Grace, I am extremely suspicious of Jeremy Hunt’s motives in proposing 12 weeks and I don’t see any compelling medical reason to justify lowering the limit – I don’t see one for extending it either. Reducing access to an important medical procedure is certainly not a positive step for women’s rights.

      • Alexwilliamz

        Just have a look what other health news was bubbling under the surface and Hunt’s revelations become all too obvious. I have noticed a similar strategy in staff meetings; if things take a turn in a direction the management (not obviously in my present employment) are not happy then just bring up either homework or uniform and the discussion is soon side tracked for a good half hour by which time hopefully everyone has forgotten the other thing.

      • Alexwilliamz

        Just have a look what other health news was bubbling under the surface and Hunt’s revelations become all too obvious. I have noticed a similar strategy in staff meetings; if things take a turn in a direction the management (not obviously in my present employment) are not happy then just bring up either homework or uniform and the discussion is soon side tracked for a good half hour by which time hopefully everyone has forgotten the other thing.

      • Alexwilliamz

        Just have a look what other health news was bubbling under the surface and Hunt’s revelations become all too obvious. I have noticed a similar strategy in staff meetings; if things take a turn in a direction the management (not obviously in my present employment) are not happy then just bring up either homework or uniform and the discussion is soon side tracked for a good half hour by which time hopefully everyone has forgotten the other thing.

      • Alexwilliamz

        Just have a look what other health news was bubbling under the surface and Hunt’s revelations become all too obvious. I have noticed a similar strategy in staff meetings; if things take a turn in a direction the management (not obviously in my present employment) are not happy then just bring up either homework or uniform and the discussion is soon side tracked for a good half hour by which time hopefully everyone has forgotten the other thing.

      • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ZPXYLRVP4XOIGGDJWAL6HUO7U4 David

        If you refer to the link helpfully posted above you will note that the UK stands virtually alone in having such a lengthy time limit: 12 weeks appears to be the norm across Europe, with some extensions available only in certain (and typically more medically necessary) cases, so I strongly doubt that the matter is as clear cut as you suggest.

        “I don’t see any compelling medical reason to justify lowering the limit”

        Nor I, hence my comment that this is a political and moral debate, for which one must accept views will change over time.

        However, nor do I accept the “medical” reasoning for the 22 week limit: you appear to equate viability with the starting point for foetal rights to be applicable.  I suggest that is a deeply flawed mechanism for attributing rights, exemplified by the fact that until comparatively recently (i.e. barely a generation ago) this would have provided apparent justification for near full-term abortions.

        For what it’s worth, I do not have a fixed view on the “right” limit, I simply accept that the matter remains open for debate, but likewise do not accept that a “women’s rights” (surely “parent’s rights”?) are trampled upon by asking parents to consider their position a little earlier than 5 months down the line.  It would be unusual to have political debates in an honest and transparent manner with the public, but I would be very interested in seeing the stats for abortion reasons and proportions across each of the 22 weeks: my suspicion is that none of the later term abortions relate to circumstances which were already in place at conception, but rather reflect a changing position by the mother.  To change one’s mind is fine, and circumstances do occasionally justify such changes, but I don’t think “women’s rights” include the right to put off decisions unnecessarily while a human being develops inside them, just because they can.

        • Brumanuensis

          Reply above.

  • Winston_from_the_Ministry

    Interesting fact about the film, Looper, it was originally going to be set in Paris. But was relocated to China in order to slip below their quota of foreign cinema releases. And it’s been hugely successful in that regard.

    Not sure what the rest of the article is on about really.

  • Hugh
    • Alexwilliamz

      Interesting….

    • Alexwilliamz

      Interesting….

    • Alexwilliamz

      Interesting….

  • Alexwilliamz

    I think you will find it is the 30s the gvt is striving to take us back to. Now if they could just work out how to get Japan to invade China, all their ills will be sorted!!

  • Alexwilliamz

    I think you will find it is the 30s the gvt is striving to take us back to. Now if they could just work out how to get Japan to invade China, all their ills will be sorted!!

  • Alexwilliamz

    I think you will find it is the 30s the gvt is striving to take us back to. Now if they could just work out how to get Japan to invade China, all their ills will be sorted!!

  • Alexwilliamz

    I think you will find it is the 30s the gvt is striving to take us back to. Now if they could just work out how to get Japan to invade China, all their ills will be sorted!!

  • Pingback: Looper – A Review « A Mad Man With A Blog

  • Brumanuensis

    David, I appreciate you’re trying to be even-handed, but I have to take vehement exception to some of the things you’ve written above.
     
    To go from the bottom up:
     
    “I don’t think “women’s rights” include the right to put off decisions unnecessarily while a human being develops inside them, just because they can”.
     
    The insinuation that women are delaying out of laziness is not supported by the statistics on abortions in the UK. The most recent set of figures, from 2011, show that 196,082 abortions were carried out on the NHS. 91.1% took place at 12 weeks or under. Only 1.4% took place at over 20 weeks and virtually all of these – with perhaps a minuscule number of exceptions – would have been for medical reasons, or because the woman in question was unaware she was pregnant – which considering almost 15% of abortions were performed on women aged 35+ is not unusual, due to potential confusion of the cause of periods ceasing. So to insinuate that women are prevaricating is a contention unsupported by the data we have available.

    “I simply accept that the matter remains open for debate, but likewise do not accept that a “women’s rights” (surely “parent’s rights”?) are trampled upon by asking parents to consider their position a little earlier than 5 months down the line”.

    Are you claiming that only women in partnerships have abortions? I know they make up a large proportion of the figures, but there are also many women in non-permanent relationships who choose to have abortions. Given that they are opting to terminate the pregnancy, using the term ‘parents’ rights’ is inappropriate. And even if they were in a relationship, as only the woman bears the medical cost of pregnancy and birth, it would be oppressive for a man to have a say in whether or not the woman had an abortion.
     
     

  • Brumanuensis

    (cont).

    “However, nor do I accept the “medical” reasoning for the 22 week limit: you appear to equate viability with the starting point for foetal rights to be applicable. I suggest that is a deeply flawed mechanism for attributing rights, exemplified by the fact that until comparatively recently (i.e. barely a generation ago) this would have provided apparent justification for near full-term abortions”.

    Viability is crucial. Pre-viability, the foetus has no separate identity from the woman and is merely another part of the woman’s body – like a kidney, liver, or even a tumour – and as such has no standing as a human being (something the European Court of Human Rights have ruled on). Post-viability, it acquires certain protections, by virtue of having some potential existence outside of the womb, albeit with massive intervention. Personally, I feel that abortion on demand should be available pre-viability, and thereafter available for medical reasons, or for conceptions arising from rape or incest. This is not the current state of UK law, however.

    “If you refer to the link helpfully posted above you will note that the UK stands virtually alone in having such a lengthy time limit: 12 weeks appears to be the norm across Europe, with some extensions available only in certain (and typically more medically necessary) cases, so I strongly doubt that the matter is as clear cut as you suggest”.

    I’m not sure if you’re suggesting that this proves 24 weeks is not the viability limit, but 12 weeks more likely exists for cultural and political reasons, rather than medical ones, in other European countries. Medically, 24 weeks remains the point at which a foetus is statistically more likely to survive than die (http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/7340288.stm). NB that so far as I am aware, there have been no significant medical advances since 2008.

    Abortion is, primarily, a matter of public health. There may come a time, when artificial wombs have been perfected, where an unwanted foetus may be removed from one woman’s womb and brought to maturity outside of it. This creates its own dilemmas, but until then abortion is an important part of reproductive equality and any attempt to lower the limit, without off-setting it in some other way, is deeply suspect.

    Here endeth my rant.

    • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ZPXYLRVP4XOIGGDJWAL6HUO7U4 David

      I’m grateful for you taking the time to reply, but you are entirely misunderstanding my position.

      If you take the paragraph referring to late-term abortions “because they can” in context, you will see that I specifically make a request for the statistics for reasons of late-term abortions.  I make no assumption of laziness, merely observe that if it is a significant reason then that should be seen as unacceptable.You meanwhile make an explicit assumption that “virtually all” late-term abortions are all medically necessary.  Does that mean you would support a shorter limit for non-medical reasons?

      Regarding partnership: it is reducto ad absurdum to claim that my position ignores the possibility of single parents opting for abortion: clearly relationships are complicated things, but my central point is that in an ideal stable, loving partnership, that both parties should be involved in reaching a joint decision.  It is a bugbear of mine to see constant assumptions that it is “only” the mother’s choice, though I do accept there are situations where the mother’s choice must take primacy, and outside those idealised conditions this will be increasingly likely to be the case.

      That the ECHR have ruled using a quantitative measure for ease of defining “humanity” is frankly irrelevant: their judgement is a legal opinion, not an immutable law, and the medical fact is we simple don’t understand brain function well enough to be able to make such judgement with any certainty.

      You seem to keep glossing over my point that this is moral and political, not medical (because there is inadequate evidence to support any specific term limit, be it 12, 22 or 24 weeks), but this is central to this issue.

      Finally (in paragraph terms) you contend once again that abortion is a matter of public health: clearly in many cases it is, in other cases it is a matter of choice for other reasons.  I do not have the statistics (and suspect they cannot be accurately relied upon, even if we had them) to be able to comment on this assertion, but simply recognise that is what it is.

      To make any comment on the final sentence you will have to explain to me what you mean by “reproductive equality”: to me that suggests some sort of tit-for-tat approach: “I bear the baby so I get to choose whether it lives or dies”: if so I suggest that undermines the remainder of your thesis.

      • Brumanuensis

        “If you take the paragraph referring to late-term abortions “because they can” in context, you will see that I specifically make a request for the statistics for reasons of late-term abortions. I make no assumption of laziness, merely observe that if it is a significant reason then that should be seen as unacceptable.You meanwhile make an explicit assumption that “virtually all” late-term abortions are all medically necessary. Does that mean you would support a shorter limit for non-medical reasons?”

        But if you weren’t sure, then why did you include the sentence ‘I don’t think “women’s rights” include the right to put off decisions unnecessarily while a human being develops inside them, just because they can’, which struck me as unnecessary. In answer to your question, no, because pre-viability I don’t regard the foetus as having any standing. Post viability, the situation changes somewhat, which is where I’m open to restrictions on the reasons for allowing a termination.

        “My central point is that in an ideal stable, loving partnership, that both parties should be involved in reaching a joint decision. It is a bugbear of mine to see constant assumptions that it is “only” the mother’s choice, though I do accept there are situations where the mother’s choice must take primacy, and outside those idealised conditions this will be increasingly likely to be the case”.

        I still don’t fully accept that contention. The man isn’t entitled to any say. He’s not bearing the medical risks associated with pregnancy, nor with birth. There’s no equality of potential harm in this decision, which makes it inequitable for a man to try and lay claim to a ‘joint decision’. Ideally, I suppose it might be better to discuss the matter, but the ultimately, yes, it is ‘only’ the mother’s choice.

        “That the ECHR have ruled using a quantitative measure for ease of defining “humanity” is frankly irrelevant: their judgement is a legal opinion, not an immutable law, and the medical fact is we simple don’t understand brain function well enough to be able to make such judgement with any certainty”.

        David, the medical science on foetal viability is strong and certainly compelling enough to influence public policy. Among other issues, the foetus almost certainly does not feel pain ( http://www.rcog.org.uk/fetal-awareness-review-research-and-recommendations-practice ) prior to 24 weeks and for the remainder of the pregnancy has only limited cognition of sensual stimuli. Of course the ECHR’s decision isn’t a binding moral law, but it is useful guidance on these issues. There is an established medical consensus that 24 weeks marks the point where the foetus is statistically more likely to survive, with intensive intervention, than die. This is a useful marker in determining what protections we extend to it. 

        “You seem to keep glossing over my point that this is moral and political, not medical (because there is inadequate evidence to support any specific term limit, be it 12, 22 or 24 weeks), but this is central to this issue.
        To make any comment on the final sentence you will have to explain to me what you mean by “reproductive equality”: to me that suggests some sort of tit-for-tat approach: “I bear the baby so I get to choose whether it lives or dies”: if so I suggest that undermines the remainder of your thesis”.

        The medical aspects of abortion are central to its moral dimensions, which is why refer to them. The case being made, by recent proponents of lowering the limit, is that medical science justifies this move – see Hunt and Miller’s comments – which as I have pointed out, is not warranted on available scientific evidence. If this changes, we can revisit this discussion. Morally, as I have set out, medical viability is the most important aspect of the discussion on limits, because it demarcates the point where the foetus ceases, on average, to be merely another part of the mother’s body and acquires a certain, limited standing.

        By reproductive equality, I mean the fact that until women are able to control their fertility, true gender equality will be impossible. As pregnancy is a medical condition unique to women, giving women the right to decide whether or not to proceed with a pregnancy is integral to their personal autonomy. It’s not an unqualified right, but it should be a very extensive one.

        • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ZPXYLRVP4XOIGGDJWAL6HUO7U4 David

          This has been a fascinating debate, for which thank you, and I think we must agree to disagree here:

          On the medical side I am particularly grateful for the link to the report, though note that it suggests that “most neurosurgeons” agree that at 24 weeks cortex development is inadequate to permit pain: while I am not enough of an expert to have my own view, I question whether “most” is a strong enough burden of proof (recognising, however that “all” may be a practical impossibility).  Frankly I would rather err on the side of shortening it, but as I say at the outset to this debate I have no firm ideal in mind.

          Regarding men’s rights, I accept that a woman’s voice must have primacy, with medical necessities rising above all, however I also believe marriage to be a partnership of equals.  A man will be legally and financially responsible for the upbringing of the child over the next 18 years, and in my opinion a husband in a stable marriage should have at least some recognised right to express a view on the future of his own child before it is terminated in non-medically necessary circumstances.

          • Brumanuensis

            I agree this has been extremely interesting and I appreciate that you are being honest and open about your views on this complicated matter. I suppose we will have to agree to disagree on these points. One final thought on the man’s role is that whilst he will have partial responsibility for bringing up and supporting the child, until the child is born his responsibilities are largely dormant, which is why I tend not to assign rights to the male partner until after birth. But that is another discussion.

    • Hugh

       ” Pre-viability, the foetus has no separate identity from the woman and is merely another part of the woman’s body..as such has no standing as a human being”

      Thanks for clearing that up for us. Just a couple of questions:

      Why?

      And, what about the 20 to 35 percent of babies born at 23 weeks that survive?

      • Brumanuensis

        Why? Because if we accept the principle of personal autonomy in medical decisions over personal health, then if a medical matter only concerns the health of that individual, they have full discretion over what treatment to accept. The foetus, to borrow a legal term, lacks standing.

        “what about the 20 to 35 percent of babies born at 23 weeks that survive?’

        Statistical outliers. A foetus born at that age is highly likely to die and therefore cannot be said to be viable, on average. As medical science can’t predict, pre-delivery, whether or not a foetus will survive if born between 21 and 24 weeks – being certain to die before then – we have to apply statistical averages to decide whether or not a limit reflects the viability of a foetus. It doesn’t mean that every decision will be ‘correct’, so-to-speak, but it is the least worst means of resolving medical uncertainty.

        • Hugh

          “Why? Because if we accept the principle of personal autonomy in medical
          decisions over personal health, then if a medical matter only concerns
          the health of that individual, they have full discretion over what
          treatment to accept. The foetus, to borrow a legal term, lacks standing.”

          That’s a circular argument. The decision only concerns the health of the individual (I’m assuming you’re referring to the mother)  because you’ve decided the foetus “lacks standing” as an individual. And as David pointed out earlier, by your definition a 25 week old foetus today is an individual, but a 35 week old foetus 100 years would not have been.

          To state that “pre-viability, the foetus has no separate identity from the woman” is no more than an assertion – and one the majority of the world disagrees with.

          • Brumanuensis

            Hugh, the fact that foetal viability is not fixed does not mean it isn’t real and significant. At no point in human history has a foetus ever been given equal standing to a fully-formed human – English common law didn’t accord it this status, nor did the ancient Greeks or Romans. Why do you think the feotus does have a separate identity when it is completely dependent upon the mother’s body for survival?

          • Hugh

            “Hugh, the fact that foetal viability is not fixed does not mean it isn’t real and significant.”

            It does make it a pretty lousy yard stick for measuring whether a feotus qualifies as an individual or not. It also makes your confidence on the question ill placed. Incidentally, viability also varies according to sex and race, apparently. I’m guessing you wouldn’t support varying it on those terms.

            “At no point in human history has a foetus ever been given equal standing to a fully-formed human – English common law didn’t accord it this status, nor did the ancient Greeks or Romans.”

            At this point in human history practically everywhere protects foetuses beyond a certain age from being killed, and practically everywhere – while not giving them the vote – accords some protection before 24 weeks, so I’m not sure of your point.

            “Why do you think the feotus does have a separate identity when it is completely dependent upon the mother’s body for survival?”

            Since whether a feotus is completely dependent upon its mother’s body or not is determined in large part by circumstances entirely unrelated to either the feotus or the mother, how could that preclude it having an identity?

          • Brumanuensis

            If you can think up a better medical standard for determining the capability for biologically-independent existence, then you’re welcome to offer one. Until then, it’s viability or nothing, on that score. 

            Please state:

            a). When you think the limit ought to be set.

            b). Why it should be set at that point.

            c). What reasons exist for termination up to and possibly beyond that point.

            d). Why you feel the foetus has independent standing and at what point?

          • Hugh

            I would not attempt to  refine a purely medical standard for an ethical question:

            a) I’m unsure
            b) Because it’s not just a question of women’s rights or medicine.
            c) I’m unsure
            d) Because there’s quite plainly another human life involved.

          • Brumanuensis

            I admire your willingness to admit that you don’t know the answers to a & c, but for d, life itself is not the main determining factor here – unless you have similar concerns about stem cell research. The crucial factor is lack of sentience and sensory perception, which determines standing as a human being – this doesn’t need to be massively complex, only to extend to an awareness of self and an awareness of others, as separate and defined entities, which the foetus quite probably lacks. 

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Mike-Homfray/510980099 Mike Homfray

    I strongly oppose any attempt to change the abortion laws.

    The aim should always be to achieve early abortion if at all possible. The majority of late abortions – which anyone with any sense at all would want to avoid, particularly the woman – take place for valid reasons which have prevented earlier termination. For example, young women in denial, the onset of mental ill-health , or late-discovered medical issues.

    Very few abortions would be prevented by shortening the time. Best of all, lets promote good sex education and the use of contraception

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