Labour equals biggest ever poll lead with YouGov

20th February, 2013 8:37 am

Two weeks ago Labour achieved a record poll lead with YouGov of 15 points. It seemed like an outlier at the time (with leads in the low double figures as the norm), but today this has been replicated, as Labour again take a 15 point lead with the pollster. The topline of the poll is:

Lab: 44% Con: 29% LD: 11% UKIP 11%

In addition, voters were asked whether they support or oppose the coalition. 59% of people oppose the existence of the coalition (with 32% in favour) but a whopping 42% of Tory voters oppose the coalition. There’s trouble brewing…

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  • The sooner this government implodes the better…

  • Gabrielle

    Maria Hutchings, in her usual calm and measured way (ahem), described the Tories’ alliance with the LibDems as a ‘pact with the Devil’. That seems a bit unfair to the LibDems – they’re the ones who’ve sold their souls and are going to be cast into the electoral equivalent of eternal darkness.

    If the LibDems fail to win Eastleigh (which seems increasingly likely), it will put severe strain on the Coalition, although I doubt whether the LibDems would have the guts to finally pull the plug.

    • NT86

      Haven’t recent odds put them as favouries for winning? No matter how bad the Lib Dems are, I’d like to think the voters in Eastleigh are more sensible than handing over votes to the delightful Maria Hutchings. Akin to any number of awful Tory women MP’s who were around during the Thatcher and Major years.

    • NT86

      Haven’t recent odds put them as favourites for winning? No matter how bad the Lib Dems are, I’d like to think the voters in Eastleigh are more sensible than handing over votes to the delightful Maria Hutchings. Akin to any number of awful Tory women MP’s who were around during the Thatcher and Major years.

      • michellegraham

        Or awful Tory men MPs for that matter. She’s not awful because she’s a woman, you know.

    • robertcp

      I think that the Lib Dems will probably win in Eastleigh. I would vote Lib Dem to stop that fool Hutchings being an MP.

  • NT86

    As the Conservatives have dipped under 30% in this poll, surely the UKIP vote should go up more than that. They’re the ones who are more likely to win over disillusioned Tory supporters than Labour.

    • A long term split on the right, akin to the SDP split in the 1980s for the left, will be a joy to witness.

      And perhaps One Nation Labour (I still don’t like the phrase) will end the Thatcherite neo-liberal concensus.

      • aracataca

        Hope so on both counts.

    • LordElpus

      You’re taking it as read that UKIP only acquire their votes from disillusioned Tories. The right wing of the Conservative party may well be the natural hunting ground for euro sceptics but it is by no means the only one.

  • Brumanuensis

    I’m still inclined to call this an outlier.

  • Brumanuensis

    I’m still inclined to call this an outlier.

  • LordElpus

    Just over two years to go and the opposition party is 15% clear in the polls against the incumbent government who have spent their time having to cut back on just about every service there is. An uneasy coalition between two unlikely bed fellows and another party snapping at their heels over an issue the government wants to shove into the sidings!!

    But over the next two years Labour have to actually put some meat on the bones of their policies. It will be interesting to see what lead, if any, Labour has then.

  • Excellent.

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