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Analysis

Next Labour – 8 in the morning, May 12th

By Alex Smith

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982 * "In the end it was parts of the Labour Party that turned away from the Liberal Democrats and the possibility of a further term. Some Cabinet ministers were unhappy about a deal. A chorus of Labour MPs…

Analysis

Day of decision – 8 in the morning, May 10th

By Alex Smith

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982 * Nick Clegg has reportedly given himself until the end of today to see if a deal can be struck with the Tories. * Identity crisis: 43% of Lib Dem voters see themselves as on the left left or centre-left, with…

Analysis

1 day out – 8 in the morning, May 5th

By Alex Smith

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982 * Gordon Brown has discouraged people to vote tactically, and says "vote Labour". * Tony Blair has described the Lib Dems as "the old politics masquerading as the new", and also says: vote Labour. * In an…

Analysis

LabourList’s poll trends: Towards May 6th

By Theo Grzegorczyk

By Theo Grzegorczyk Taking in tonight's polling from YouGov, Harris and ComRes, the poor showing for the Liberals is reflected in both the long-term trends and in the short-term trends. In the first, they drop one point to 30%; in the…

Analysis

LabourList’s poll trends: Towards May 6th

By Theo Grzegorczyk

By Theo Grzegorczyk Having looked at two different sets of trends on Sunday, I have updated both of these to include last night's polling from ComRes and YouGov. Again, the results tell two different stories. Since the turn of the year…

Analysis

2 days out – 8 in the morning, May 4th

By Alex Smith

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982 * WATCH: Gordon Brown's electrifying speech to CitizensUK yesterday. * The Guardian says it was one of the "most passionate speeches he has ever given". * And Brown has made a new pitch to progressive voters…

Analysis

LabourList’s poll trends: Towards May 6th

By Theo Grzegorczyk

By Theo Grzegorczyk When LabourList first began publishing these polling trends, I suggested that one of the main arguments to support their publication was that it was necessary to look at the broader game. Among other reasons, I suggested…

Analysis

LabourList’s poll trends: Towards May 6th

By Theo Grzegorczyk

By Theo Grzegorczyk On the basis of last night's polls from YouGov (Con 34, Lab 28, LD 28) and Harris (Con 33, LD 30, Lab 25), there is again no change in the forecasted popular vote shares.

Analysis

Debate reaction – 8 in the morning, April 30th

By Alex Smith

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982 * "The third television debate closed the first chapter of a captivating democratic experiment, but nobody wanted to confront the pain to come", says the Times leader. * The polls show David Cameron was…

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