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Last night, LabourList published the first in a series which will look at the trends underpinning the daily polling numbers, and which will seek to identify the possible projections of those trends.
Tonight, with new numbers from YouGov’s daily tracking poll – Con 40%, Lab 32%, Lib Dem 17% – we have updated the analysis.
The numbers are fairly consistent with our trends, and haven’t altered the projected May 6th result at this point.
The project will continue through the election.
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