All the latest polls as they come in

Polls are coming in thick and fast so we will keep this post updated as they are published.

So far we have:

TNS (30 Apr – 4 May) LAB 32% (-1), CON 33% (-1), LIB DEM 8% (+1), UKIP 14% (-1), GREEN 6% (+1), OTHER 6% (+1)

Yougov/The Sun (5th May)  Cons & Lab tied  Con 34% (+1), Lab 34% (+1), LD 9% (-1), UKIP 12% (n/c), GRN 5% (n/c);

More as they come in…

UPDATE: YouGov have released a poll of London where Labour are aiming to win up to 12 seats. The numbers are: LAB – 46% (+2) CON – 33% (+1) LDEM – 9% (+1) UKIP – 8% (-2) GRN – 3% (-2)

UPDATE: Panelbase have released a new poll of Scottish seats for Westminster. The numbers are: SNP – 48% (-) LAB – 26% (-1) CON – 14% (-2) LDEM – 5% (+1) UKIP – 3% (n/c) GRN – 2% (n/c)

UPDATE: YouGov in conjunction with ITV and Cardiff Uni have a new poll for Wales. The numbers are: CON 25 (-1) LAB 39 (-1) LIB 8 (+2) PC 13 (+1) UKIP 12 (-1) GRN 2 (-2)

UPDATE: Opinium’s final poll puts the Tories ahead by one. CON 35%, LAB 34%, UKIP 12%, LDEM 8%, GRN 6%

UPDATE: ICM (the gold standard phone pollster) who had previously had Labour behind by three, now has Labour and the Tories in a tie: CON – 35% (-) LAB – 35% (+3) UKIP – 11% (-2) LDEM – 9% (-) GRN – 3% (-2)

UPDATE: Labour have a two point lead with Panelbase – LAB 33% CON 31% UKIP 16% LD 8% GRN 5%

UPDATE: Final YouGov poll has a sample of 10,000 – and it’s a tie:

CON – 34% (-) LAB – 34% (-) UKIP – 12% (-) LDEM – 10% (+1)  GRN – 4% (-1)

However, reading the underlying figures things may still favour the Tories. The SNP lead Labour 48% to 28% and the swing from Labour to Tory in key marginals appears to be just 2.5% in this poll. If repeated on election day that may not be enough to deliver key marginals.

UPDATE: ComRes has Labour 3 points behind yesterday. Now they have a one point Tory lead (in line with other pollsters):  Con 35% (NC) Lab 34% (+2) Lib Dem 9% (NC) UKIP 12% (-2) Green 4% (NC) Others 6% (NC)

UPDATE: Final Survation poll is also a tie. And that’s both the headline number and when voters looked at the ballot papers in their own seats too. The sample size was a big one too – 4088:

LAB 33 CON 33 LD 9, UKIP 16 SNP 5 and when voters saw the ballot paper they’ll use tomorrow, it was:

CON 31.4% LAB 31.4% UKIP 15.7% LD 9.6% GRE 4.8 SNP 4.7% PC 0.4 AP 1.9%

And on that poll, this could be crucial:

UPDATE: Final Lord Ashcroft poll is, you guessed, a complete draw. CON 33%, LAB 33%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 11%, GRN 6%

UPDATE: Ipsos MORI’s poll is out. The Tories’ previous 5 point lead is down to one: Lab 35%, Con 36%, UKIP 11%, LibDem 8%, UKIP 11%, GRN 5%

UPDATE: The final pre-election Guardian/ICM poll has Labour one point ahead. This is because the Tories have dropped by one point since ICM released their provisional results yesterday: Lab 35%, Con 34%, UKIP 11%, LibDem 9%, SNP 5%, GRN 4%, Other 2%