62% say Brown should go; 38% would support Johnson

Anand Menon

Motif only LL admin contributorFrom @LabourList

TOPLINE RESULTS:

62% of Labour members and supporters sampled think Gordon Brown should not be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election.

The number of Labour supporters who believe Mr. Brown should be replaced rises to 66% among those aged 26 to 35 and 81% amongst those polled over 65.

The top preferences to replace Mr Brown as leader were Alan Johnson (38%), Harriet Harman (10%), David Miliband (10%) and Jon Cruddas (8%).

Should Mr Brown step aside, Alan Johnson was favoured to replace him in every demographic breakdown by age, gender and region, though his level of support varies and is higher amongst men (40%) than women (27%).

A total of 1,060 people responded to the poll between Monday 11th and Friday 15th May, 2009.

A total of 783 identified themselves as Labour Party members or supporters.

Duplicate responders were filtered from the results. Apart fromn the first category showing all responses, only those who identify as Labour Party members or supporters are included below.

FULL BREAKDOWN:

1 – ALL RESPONSES (those who identify as Labour supporters and those who do not)

1. Should Gordon Brown be Labour leader at the next general election?
Yes 35%
No 65%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 37%
Harriet Harman 11%
David Miliband 9%
Jon Cruddas 8%
Ed Miliband 6%
Hilary Benn 5%
Jack Straw 5%
Hazel Blears 3%
James Purnell 3%
Peter Mandelson 3%
Ed Balls 2%
Andy Burnham 2%
John Reid 2%
Charles Clarke 2%
Others 2%

2 – REPONSES OF ALL MEMBERS OR SUPPORTERS OF THE LABOUR PARTY ONLY

1. Should Gordon Brown be Labour leader at the next general election?
Yes 38%
No 62%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 38%
Harriet Harman 10%
David Miliband 10%
Jon Cruddas 8%
Ed Miliband 7%
Hilary Benn 5%
Jack Straw 5%
James Purnell 4%
Hazel Blears 3%
Peter Mandelson 3%
Ed Balls 2%
Andy Burnham 2%
Others 3%

3 – RESPONSES OF MEMBERS OR SUPPORTERS OF THE LABOUR PARTY ONLY

WOMEN

1. Should Gordon Brown be Labour leader at the next general election?
Yes 48%
No 52%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 27%
Harriet Harman 12%
Jon Cruddas 12%
Hilary Benn 9%
Ed Miliband 8%
Hazel Blears 6%
David Miliband 5%
Jack Straw 4%
James Purnell 4%
Ed Balls 3%
Andy Burnham 2%
John Reid 2%
Jacqui Smith 2%
Others 4%

4 – MEMBERS OR SUPPORTERS OF THE LABOUR PARTY ONLY

MEN

1. Should Gordon Brown be Labour leader at the next general election?
Yes 36%
No 64%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 40%
David Miliband 11%
Harriet Harman 9%
Jon Cruddas 8%
Ed Miliband 6%
Hilary Benn 5%
Jack Straw 5%
James Purnell 4%
Peter Mandelson 3%
Hazel Blears 2%
Ed Balls 2%
Andy Burnham 2%
Others 3%

5 – SPREAD OF LABOUR PARTY MEMBERS OR SUPPORTERS ONLY BY AGE BRACKET

AGE: 18-25

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 48%
No 52%

5.1.2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 30%
David Miliband 15%
Jon Cruddas 12%
Ed Miliband 10%
Harriet Harman 8%
Jack Straw 5%
James Purnell 4%
Hazel Blears 4%
Hilary Benn 3%
Peter Mandelson 3%
John Reid 2%
Others 4%

AGE: 26-35

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 34%
No 66%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 50%
David Miliband 7%
Jon Cruddas 7%
Ed Miliband 7%
Harriet Harman 6%
Jack Straw 6%
James Purnell 5%
Hilary Benn 3%
Ed Balls 2%
Andy Burnham 2%
Others 5%

AGE: 36-50

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 31%
No 69%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 42%
Harriet Harman 11%
Hilary Benn 10%
David Miliband 7%
Jon Cruddas 5%
Peter Mandelson 5%
Ed Miliband 3%
James Purnell 3%
Ed Balls 3%
Jack Straw 2%
Charles Clarke 2%
Hazel Blears 2%
Yvette Cooper 2%
Others 3%

AGE: 51-65

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 37%
No 63%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 32%
Harriet Harman 19%
Jon Cruddas 11%
Jack Straw 8%
Hilary Benn 6%
David Miliband 6%
Ed Miliband 3%
Charles Clarke 3%
John Reid 3%
Peter Hain 3%
Others 6%

AGE: 65+

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 19%
No 81%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 28%
Ed Miliband 16%
Hilary Benn 12%
Jon Cruddas 8%
Jacqui Smith 8%
Harriet Harman 4%
David Miliband 4%
Peter Mandelson 4%
Andy Burnham 4%
Hazel Blears 4%
Yvette Cooper 4%
Others 4%

6 – LABOUR MEMBERS AND SUPPORTERS ONLY BY REGION

LONDON

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 34%
No 66%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 41%
David Miliband 10%
Jon Cruddas 9%
Harriet Harman 9%
Ed Miliband 7%
Jack Straw 5%
James Purnell 5%
Hilary Benn 4%
Peter Mandelson 3%
Andy Burnham 2%
Ed Balls 2%
Others 3%

SOUTH EAST

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 30%
No 70%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 33%
Harriet Harman 17%
David Miliband 10%
Ed Miliband 9%
Jon Cruddas 7%
Hazel Blears 7%
Hilary Benn 6%
James Purnell 4%
Ed Balls 2%
Jack Straw 2%
Others 3%

EAST ANGLIA

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 54%
No 46%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 36%
Hilary Benn 15%
Jon Cruddas 12%
Harriet Harman 9%
David Miliband 6%
Hazel Blears 6%
Ed Miliband 3%
Jack Straw 3%
James Purnell 3%
Yvette Cooper 3%
Others 4%

SOUTH WEST

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 28%
No 72%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 33%
David Miliband 15%
Harriet Harman 9%
Ed Miliband 9%
Hilary Benn 9%
Jon Cruddas 6%
Jack Straw 6%
Alistair Darling 3%
James Purnell 3%
Peter Mandelson 3%
Charles Clarke 3%
Others 1%

WALES

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 37%
No 63%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 31%
Harriet Harman 17%
David Miliband 14%
Hilary Benn 11%
Jon Cruddas 8%
James Purnell 6%
Peter Hain 5%
Ed Miliband 3%
Jack Straw 3%
Peter Mandelson 2%

EAST MIDLANDS

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 38%
No 62%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 39%
Harriet Harman 13%
David Miliband 13%
Ed Miliband 4%
Hilary Benn 4%
Jack Straw 4%
Charles Clarke 4%
Jacqui Smith 4%
Yvette Cooper 4%
Hazel Blears 4%
Ed Balls 4%
Others 3%

WEST MIDLANDS

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 49%
No 51%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 47%
David Miliband 11%
Harriet Harman 9%
Jon Cruddas 6%
Peter Hain 4%
Jacqui Smith 4%
Ed Miliband 4%
Yvette Cooper 4%
Jack Straw 2%
Peter Mandelson 2%
John Reid 2%
Ed Balls 2%
Hilary Benn 2%
Others 1%

NORTH WEST

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 46%
No 54%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 43%
Jon Cruddas 9%
Andy Burnham 8%
Ed Miliband 5%
Peter Mandelson 5%
David Miliband 5%
Jack Straw 5%
Hilary Benn 4%
Harriet Harman 4%
James Purnell 4%
Hazel Blears 4%
Others 4%

NORTH EAST

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 26%
No 74%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 19%
Harriet Harman 16%
David Miliband 16%
Jon Cruddas 16%
Peter Mandelson 10%
Jack Straw 7%
Ed Balls 7%
Ed Miliband 3%
Andy Burnham 3%
Charles Clarke 3%

SCOTLAND

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 46%
No 54%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 33%
David Miliband 12%
Ed Miliband 12%
Jon Cruddas 8%
James Purnell 6%
Harriet Harman 4%
Hazel Blears 4%
Ed Balls 4%
Peter Mandelson 4%
John Reid 4%
Jack Straw 2%
Hilary Benn 2%
Douglas Alexander 2%
Yvette Cooper 2%
Others 1%

YORKSHIRE

1. Should Gordon Brown be leader of the Labour Party at the next general election?
Yes 51%
No 49%

2. If Gordon Brown were not leader at the next general election, who would be your preference?
Alan Johnson 40%
Jack Straw 11%
Harriet Harman 9%
Hilary Benn 9%
Ed Miliband 7%
David Miliband 7%
Jon Cruddas 4%
Yvette Cooper 4%
James Purnell 2%
John Reid 2%
Jacqui Smith 2%
Ed Balls 2%
Others 1%

ENDS

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