By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982
UPDATE: A new ComRes poll for ITV News/The Independent shows the Tories down one point on 37%, Labour up one point to 29%, and the Lib Dems up one to 26%.
UPDATE: Opinium in the Express shows the Tories down one to 33%, with Labour up three points to 28% and the Lib Dems down one to 27%.
Tonight’s YouGov tracker shows the Tories up one point to 35%, with Labour unchanged on 28% and the Lib Dems down a point, also on 28%.
The latest wave of Ipsos-Mori polling in the key marginal seats, conducted over the weekend, shows the race tightening, with the Tories up one to 36%, Labour down two also on 36% and the Lib Dems down one point to 20%.
That’s an overall swing of 7% in those seats to the Tories since 2005. However, Ipsos-Mori reports:
“Given that national polls are suggesting the Conservatives are more likely to lose seats to the Liberal Democrats than gain from them, [a] majority is not necessarily guaranteed.”
A ComRes poll is due at 10pm.
More from LabourList
Assisted dying vote tracker: How does each Labour MP plan to vote on bill?
Scottish Labour vows to reverse winter fuel cuts in break with Westminster line
‘Farmer protests and Reform’s threat loomed large at Welsh conference – but threats remain on the left too’