State of the Party: Opinion divided over Miliband performance

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By Mark Ferguson / @markfergusonuk

Labour supporters are divided over Ed Miliband’s performance as leader – and the percentage of supporters thinking he’s doing an “excellent” or “good” job has declined over the last month – 37% of those voting believe he’s doing a good job, with 12% rating his performance so far as excellent. However 32% believe that his performance as leader has been only “fair”, with 19% (up from only 12% in November) considering his performance “poor”.

Alan Johnson’s popularity has also taken a hit over the past month. Back in November Johnson was rated positively by 75% of readers and negatively by just 18%. This month Johnson is viewed negatively by 38% (with 55% positive) – making him the least popular shadow cabinet member with LabourList readers.

Ed Balls and Yvette Cooper remain popular members of the shadow cabinet (viewed positively by 79% and 75% of respondents respectively). Andy Burnham is currently the most popular member of the shadow cabinet, with a positive rating of 80%.

There’s still some work to do for some of the less well known shadow cabinet members – over 50% of LabourList readers still have no view on seven members of the shadow cabinet. Shadow Scottish secretary Ann McKechin is still viewed as something of a mystery, with 82% of readers having no opinion of her.

There’s some potentially good news for the “Labour Yes” campaign in these results too. LabourList readers remain divided over AV, but having been 9% behind last month (before the launch of the official campaigns) – a yes vote is now marginally ahead of a no vote, which may suggest that the campaign is having some effect.

Choosing Labour candidates through a primary system continues to grow in popularity, with 50% of Labour supporters now in favour of such a measure. Meanwhile the economy/employment is still the most pressing issue for LabourList readers, with 77% of respondents listing it as a main area of interest.

552 LabourList readers voted in the survey, which ran from Saturday 18th – Wednesday 22nd December. Thanks to all who took part.

Survey Results

How do you think Ed Miliband is performing as leader so far?

Excellent – 12.3%
Good – 36.8%
Fair – 32%
Poor – 19%

What are your overall impressions of each shadow cabinet member?
Positive Negative Don’t know
Harriet Harman 63.2 20.6 17.0
Alan Johnson 55.0 37.5 8.3
Yvette Cooper 74.5 10.5 16.1
Ed Balls 79.4 13.0 8.3
Sadiq Khan 52.3 21.7 26.7
Jim Murphy 42.0 10.5 47.8
John Denham 73.4 8.2 19.3
Douglas Alexander 66.4 13.1 20.9
John Healey 43.7 10.0 46.7
Andy Burnham 80.0 8.7 11.3
Caroline Flint 44.6 22.7 33.5
Maria Eagle 27.8 13.8 59.1
Meg Hillier 16.3 11.0 72.8
Mary Creagh 14.8 9.0 76.1
Liam Byrne 37.7 22.1 40.5
Shaun Woodward 19.5 21.0 60.1
Ann McKechin 10.0 9.1 81.5
Peter Hain 43.8 18.9 38.6
Ivan Lewis 14.4 13.8 72.4
Tessa Jowell 35.4 23.7 42.2
Angela Eagle 39.6 13.9 47.7
Rosie Winterton 29.4 11.2 60.2
Hilary Benn 52.7 9.2 39.1

How will you vote in next year’s AV referendum?

Yes (In favour of AV) – 39.6%
No (Against AV / In favour of current system) – 38.2%
Don’t know – 19.8%
Won’t vote – 2.4%

Do you support some form of primary for selecting Labour Party candidates?

Yes – 50.4%
No – 34.7%
Don’t Know – 15%

What are your main areas of interest?

Crime / Justice 34.5%
Culture 25.8%
Economy / Employment 76.9%
Education 68.8%
Electoral Reform 22.9%
Environment / Climate Change 30.4%
Equality 48%
Families 23.2%
Health 51.8%
Housing 43.75
International Development 19.7%
International Relations 26%
Immigration 18.5%
Parliamentary / Constitutional Reform 29.9%
Party Democracy 29.2%
Taxation 38.4%
Transport 26%
Unions 28.6%
Workers’ Rights 39.5%

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