Cameron’s EU poll bounce – was that it?

30th January, 2013 9:43 am

Regular LabourList readers will know that although I was expecting the Tories to get a poll boost out of Cameron’s Europe speech, I was also quite surprised at how small it was. Now the Labour lead is back up to 9 points with YouGov. Does that mean the Cameron bounce has ended  just a week after the speech? Labour’s poll lead is still smaller than it was before the speech, but it seems to have stabilised and perhaps even started growing again. This chart suggests so:

BB1xhYJCQAAzILv.jpg-large

(h/t: Mike Smithson)

To report anything from the comment section, please e-mail [email protected]
  • Most voters really don’t vote on Europe as first priority. And I think those who are very passionate about leaving are, on the whole, not likely to vote Labour. Movement is likely to be between the Tories and UKIP.

    • Brumanuensis

      I believe that’s exactly what YouGov found, if I recall what Anthony Wells wrote about the ‘bounce’ on UKPollingReport.

  • NT86

    All it might have done was shave a bit off UKIP’s support. In the long-term even that is debtateable, because there is going to be a lot of obstacles which Cameron will need to overcome regarding a referendum. Plus with Nigel Farage being such a strong media performer, there’s far more of UKIP to come, IMO.

    I don’t oppose a referendum at all, but strongly believe in reforming the EU. If anything, that is what Labour should pledge at the moment if they can’t on a referendum.

    As for the polling figures, the Tories aren’t showing signs of particularly harming Labour, whose voters may not be worrying so much about the EU; and further harnessing ex-Lib Dem voters.

  • Chilbaldi

    Mark – I believe I told you that exactly this would happen when I commented on your hyperbolic doomsday article of a week ago.

    • aracataca

      You did indeed Chilbaldi. The promise of a referendum if this, that and the other happens (eg the Tories win the next election) was never going to save Cameron. In time it will be seen for what it is namely, shallow populism by Cameron aimed at nothing more than attempting to tame UKIP and the Tory right in order to save his own skin. It just isn’t going to work.

Latest

  • Featured News Momentum set to mobilise thousands to back Corbyn this weekend

    Momentum set to mobilise thousands to back Corbyn this weekend

    Corbynite pressure group Momentum is expected to muster thousands of activists in a series of emergency rallies to counter what it describes as the “deeply undemocratic” efforts to oust Jeremy Corbyn. In response to the no confidence vote earlier this week, the left-wing faction has organised rallies and events in order to demonstrate grassroots support for Corbyn, as well as his anti-war and anti-austerity policies. Protests have been planned in Manchester, Liverpool, Exeter, Plymouth, Penzance for the weekend, as well as emergency meetings to bring together […]

    Read more →
  • Featured News McDonnell: Rebels’ leadership bid will land in the “next few days”

    McDonnell: Rebels’ leadership bid will land in the “next few days”

      John McDonnell today confirmed expectations that Jeremy Corbyn would face a leadership election in the “next few days” as he used a Brexit speech to highlight the imminent “end” of freedom of movement. The shadow Chancellor repeated his vow never to stand as Labour leader and struck a relaxed tone, after a week of turmoil, as he told backbench MPs to “calm down”. McDonnell, a longstanding ally of Corbyn, confirmed he would chair his friend’s campaign once again as expectations […]

    Read more →
  • Featured News Scotland Dugdale and Khan join forces to protect jobs after Brexit vote

    Dugdale and Khan join forces to protect jobs after Brexit vote

    Sadiq Khan and Kezia Dugdale today vowed to work together to protect London and Scotland from an economic hit after the Brexit vote. In a move drawing together the two areas of the UK which voted overwhelmingly to stay in the European Union – as well as Northern Ireland – the pair developed plans for how both economies could withstand the economic turmoil of leaving the EU. The politicians are expected to stay in regular contact throughout the Brexit negotiations […]

    Read more →
  • Comment Featured Alison McGovern: We may have a Brexit hangover but now is the time to listen to Labour’s local leaders

    Alison McGovern: We may have a Brexit hangover but now is the time to listen to Labour’s local leaders

    Politics and government are different activities and while the corridors of power are buzzing with the former, the latter is in short supply. Westminster at the moment is in a state of paralysis, poleaxed by a referendum result that few wanted and even fewer predicted. But across the rest of the country, the show goes on. It is notable the first off the blocks in response to Brexit were leaders of devolved administrations, in Scotland, Wales and London. While Westminster […]

    Read more →
  • Featured News LIVEBLOG: Afternoon round-up

    LIVEBLOG: Afternoon round-up

    Corbyn is still putting together a new frontbench as speculation rises about the intentions of Angela Eagle and Owen Smith. While the Labour Party is in limbo, we will bring you all the news as it comes. Friday – 15.44 Hello all, here’s your afternoon round-up of what’s gone on within the Labour party so far today.  1) Angela Rayner has been promoted to shadow Education Secretary Jeremy bringing together Education Women & Equalities in Shadow Cabinet to directly hold Nicky […]

    Read more →
x

LabourList Daily Email

Everything Labour. Every weekday morning

Share with your friends










Submit