You are here: Home » News »

Cameron’s EU poll bounce – was that it?

January 30, 2013 9:43 am

Author:

Tags:

Share this Article

Regular LabourList readers will know that although I was expecting the Tories to get a poll boost out of Cameron’s Europe speech, I was also quite surprised at how small it was. Now the Labour lead is back up to 9 points with YouGov. Does that mean the Cameron bounce has ended  just a week after the speech? Labour’s poll lead is still smaller than it was before the speech, but it seems to have stabilised and perhaps even started growing again. This chart suggests so:

BB1xhYJCQAAzILv.jpg-large

(h/t: Mike Smithson)

Related posts:

  1. Labour’s budget bounce continues
  2. Labour’s budget bounce
  3. So much for that “Jubilee bounce”
  4. So much for that Tory poll bounce…
  5. Cameron’s Euro Poll Bump – Why there’s no need for Labour to panic
  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Mike-Homfray/510980099 Mike Homfray

    Most voters really don’t vote on Europe as first priority. And I think those who are very passionate about leaving are, on the whole, not likely to vote Labour. Movement is likely to be between the Tories and UKIP.

    • Brumanuensis

      I believe that’s exactly what YouGov found, if I recall what Anthony Wells wrote about the ‘bounce’ on UKPollingReport.

  • NT86

    All it might have done was shave a bit off UKIP’s support. In the long-term even that is debtateable, because there is going to be a lot of obstacles which Cameron will need to overcome regarding a referendum. Plus with Nigel Farage being such a strong media performer, there’s far more of UKIP to come, IMO.

    I don’t oppose a referendum at all, but strongly believe in reforming the EU. If anything, that is what Labour should pledge at the moment if they can’t on a referendum.

    As for the polling figures, the Tories aren’t showing signs of particularly harming Labour, whose voters may not be worrying so much about the EU; and further harnessing ex-Lib Dem voters.

  • Chilbaldi

    Mark – I believe I told you that exactly this would happen when I commented on your hyperbolic doomsday article of a week ago.

    • aracataca

      You did indeed Chilbaldi. The promise of a referendum if this, that and the other happens (eg the Tories win the next election) was never going to save Cameron. In time it will be seen for what it is namely, shallow populism by Cameron aimed at nothing more than attempting to tame UKIP and the Tory right in order to save his own skin. It just isn’t going to work.

Latest

  • News

    Labour NEC Report – 21st May 2013

    By Johanna Baxter

    Party Organisation The General Secretary (GS) noted the party’s good performance in the recent Local, Mayoral and South Shields elections and thanked all members, activists and staff for their contribution to that success. The committee discussed the work of Blue State Digital who have been brought in to revolutionise the party’s use of new and social media as part of our suite of campaign tools. It was noted that Matthew McGregor, Head of Blue State Digital’s London Office and former [...]

    Read more →
  • News Labour’s London Assembly Leader responds to Woolwich attack

    Labour’s London Assembly Leader responds to Woolwich attack

    Following yesterday’s attack in Woolwich, Leader of the Labour Group on the London Assembly Len Duvall AM said: “The attack in Woolwich was horrific, the actions of local people in response and the head-teacher and staff at the school are a reflection of the values and strength of our community. “At this afternoon’s London Assembly Police and Crime Committee questions will be asked about yesterday’s attack and the response, and at a future assembly meeting we will come together to [...]

    Read more →
  • Comment If Labour is to build One Nation, it must be a safe and equal one for women

    If Labour is to build One Nation, it must be a safe and equal one for women

    By Ellie Cumbo

    Today End Violence Against Women (EVAW) releases a new report auditing the Government’s progress in acting to prevent violence against women and girls. And with the revelations from Operation Yewtree and group exploitation cases set to roll on for many months , we hope the response from Parliament, policy-makers and the media will be unanimous : that prevention must be at the top of the priority list for any government, of any colour, from now on. On that basis, it’s [...]

    Read more →
  • News The theories that will occupy security forces after Woolwich – Media roundup: May 23rd, 2013

    The theories that will occupy security forces after Woolwich – Media roundup: May 23rd, 2013

    Subscribers to our morning email get the best of LabourList – including the Media and blog round up – every weekday morning. If you were a subscriber you would have already received this in your inbox. You can sign up here. Woolwich – the theories that will occupy security forces “Counter-terrorism officers and security officials will doubtless fear that Woolwich fits into the category of crime that they can do little to thwart; random, lone-wolf, unsophisticated attacks, conducted by people who are not [...]

    Read more →
  • Featured This week, amid so much fear, hatred and confusion, let us not forget love

    This week, amid so much fear, hatred and confusion, let us not forget love

    By Emma Burnell

    Life can come out and shock you. The events of yesterday are unimaginable. The family of the poor victim are in indescribable pain. Those who knew the men who have done these terrible things will also be suffering. They too are victims of this awful crime. Over the next few days and weeks we will see the best and the worst of humanity. As John Lydon once sang, anger is an energy. Well directed anger is healthy. We should be [...]

    Read more →