Labour warned to expect losses across Britain in May

22nd January, 2016 3:31 pm

ballot_box.jpg

The Shadow Cabinet have been warned to expect losses in Wales, Scotland and in councils around the country when voters go to the polls in May.

The Telegraph reported this morning that Patrick Heneghan, Labour’s Executive Director of Elections, briefed the party’s top team to prepare for defeats this year.

His analysis, which one Shadow Cabinet source described to LabourList as “not really a secret”, said that Labour is on course to lose every constituency seat in the Scottish Parliament and around 200 council seats. He also said that the party will likely lose seats in Wales, where Labour currently hold half of all seats in the Assembly.

The briefing was based largely on publicly available polling, but the fact the warnings were so dire indicates that regional Labour Party branches are not reporting back any more positive news.

In 2011, Scottish Labour slumped to just 15 constituency seats and 22 regional list seats. The party is now prepared to lose all the constituency seats, although how many regional seats they hope to win is unclear.

In Wales, Labour hold exactly half (30) of the Assembly seats, and govern alone. Both the Tories and UKIP are expected to make gains against the party, making it more likely they will be forced into a coalition.

The party must also steel itself for losses of 200 councillors and control of up to six councils. Luke Akehurst says the council elections will be the best indicator of Labour’s future fortunes, while YouGov’s Marcus Roberts says that history dictates the party should aim for gains of up to 300 councillors.

To report anything from the comment section, please e-mail [email protected]

Latest

  • Featured News Corbyn condemns abuse as 40 female MPs demand action over “disgusting” incidents

    Corbyn condemns abuse as 40 female MPs demand action over “disgusting” incidents

    Jeremy Corbyn will today confront claims of abuse in the Labour Party as he uses a series of events around Britain to appeal to left-wing voters to help him retain the leadership and deliver a “social movement”. Corbyn, who has faced claims that he has done too little to tackle personal abuse in the party, will repeat his condemnation of harassment and threats after more than 40 female Labour MPs wrote to him demanding he take action to tackle an “extremely worrying […]

    Read more →
  • Comment Europe The EU referendum showed that UKIP is now the biggest threat to Labour

    The EU referendum showed that UKIP is now the biggest threat to Labour

    For a long time now commentators and Labour figures have regularly remarked on the growing cultural and political distance between the Labour Party and the core Labour vote, particularly outside London. This fact was clearly demonstrated in the EU referendum, where Labour heartlands overwhelmingly rejected Labour’s stance on EU membership and all things associated with it.  This should serve as an immediate and urgent wake up call to the Labour Party. During the referendum campaign I served as General Secretary of […]

    Read more →
  • Featured News Owen Smith: Half of the great offices of state must be filled by women

    Owen Smith: Half of the great offices of state must be filled by women

    Owen Smith will today pledge to hand two of the top four jobs in shadow Cabinet and then Government to women as he launches a campaign to tackle gender inequality. The leadership candidate says half of the so-called great offices of state – leader/prime minister, foreign secretary, chancellor and home secretary – will be filled by women as he aims to tap into Labour’s history of fighting sexual discrimination. Smith’s speech comes two days after Jeremy Corbyn used the formal launch […]

    Read more →
  • News Senior Labour figures air fresh concerns over abuse in the party

    Senior Labour figures air fresh concerns over abuse in the party

    A fresh row has broken out over the scale of abuse and intimidation in the Labour Party, as Owen Smith claimed Jeremy Corbyn must “take more responsibility” for the concerns that have led to the suspension of most constituency Labour Party (CLP) meetings across the country. Leadership challenger Smith has claimed that the level of “abuse, misogyny and anti-Semitism” in the party has risen since Corbyn’s victory last September. His intervention comes after Angela Eagle suspended surgeries in her constituency […]

    Read more →
  • Comment Featured If homophobia is allowed back into politics then it takes society back to the dark ages

    If homophobia is allowed back into politics then it takes society back to the dark ages

    This article has been written by 14 Labour Party members: Honor Cohen, Ilford North; Emma O’Dwyer, Hackney North; Carli Harper, Greenwich and Woolwich; Katie Curtis, Hornsey and Wood Green; Estelle Hart, Gower; Melantha Chittenden, Ashford; Vic Langer, Hornsey and Wood Green; Chantel Le Carpentier, Eastleigh; Katrina Gilman, Telford; Ruth Meadows, Telford; Natacha Kennedy, Eltham; Deirdre Costigan, Ealing North; Amy Lame, Holborn and St Pancras; Katie Hanson, Hackney South and Shoreditch. The Labour Party is the party of equality. It was past Labour governments that decriminalised homosexuality and introduced comprehensive legislative change on LGBT rights. […]

    Read more →
x

LabourList Daily Email

Everything Labour. Every weekday morning

Share with your friends










Submit