Labour warned to expect losses across Britain in May

22nd January, 2016 3:31 pm

ballot_box.jpg

The Shadow Cabinet have been warned to expect losses in Wales, Scotland and in councils around the country when voters go to the polls in May.

The Telegraph reported this morning that Patrick Heneghan, Labour’s Executive Director of Elections, briefed the party’s top team to prepare for defeats this year.

His analysis, which one Shadow Cabinet source described to LabourList as “not really a secret”, said that Labour is on course to lose every constituency seat in the Scottish Parliament and around 200 council seats. He also said that the party will likely lose seats in Wales, where Labour currently hold half of all seats in the Assembly.

The briefing was based largely on publicly available polling, but the fact the warnings were so dire indicates that regional Labour Party branches are not reporting back any more positive news.

In 2011, Scottish Labour slumped to just 15 constituency seats and 22 regional list seats. The party is now prepared to lose all the constituency seats, although how many regional seats they hope to win is unclear.

In Wales, Labour hold exactly half (30) of the Assembly seats, and govern alone. Both the Tories and UKIP are expected to make gains against the party, making it more likely they will be forced into a coalition.

The party must also steel itself for losses of 200 councillors and control of up to six councils. Luke Akehurst says the council elections will be the best indicator of Labour’s future fortunes, while YouGov’s Marcus Roberts says that history dictates the party should aim for gains of up to 300 councillors.

To report anything from the comment section, please e-mail [email protected]

Latest

  • Featured News LIVEBLOG: Shadow Cabinet resignations – Corbyn’s new appoitnments

    LIVEBLOG: Shadow Cabinet resignations – Corbyn’s new appoitnments

    Almost a dozen Shadow Cabinet members have resigned after Hilary Benn was sacked on Saturday night. Most of those positions were filled early Monday morning – although resignations from junior shadow ministerial roles are also coming through. We’ll be bringing you all the Labour frontbench news as it comes through. 08.39: Wayne David resigns as junior Shadow Scotland minister – meaning there is now no Shadow Scotland team. 08.28 Toby Perkins, shadow armed forces minister, resigned this morning, making a total of six resignations this morning from […]

    Read more →
  • Featured News Corbyn issues message of defiance as 11 quit shadow Cabinet

    Corbyn issues message of defiance as 11 quit shadow Cabinet

    Jeremy Corbyn has vowed to stay on as Labour leader and said he will not “betray the trust” of members despite suffering 11 shadow Cabinet resignations in a day. Heidi Alexander led the departures following the sacking of Hilary Benn in the early hours this morning for organising opposition to Corbyn’s leadership. She was joined by Gloria De Piero, Vernon Coaker, Lucy Powell, Seema Malhotra, Ian Murray, Lilian Greenwood, Kerry McCarthy, Charles Falconer, Karl Turner and Chris Bryant, all of […]

    Read more →
  • Comment Featured The plot to oust Corbyn is anti-democratic and offensive to Labour members

    The plot to oust Corbyn is anti-democratic and offensive to Labour members

    Here in Yorkshire, Labour voters and Labour members have been asking me what on earth some of our Labour MPs are up to. They are telling me that they just don’t understand why, with the Conservative Government up to its neck in trouble, the priority of some Labour MPs appears to be to make divisions in the Parliamentary Labour Party front-page news and engineer a coup against the democratically elected Labour Party Leader. They feel that some Labour MPs are […]

    Read more →
  • Comment Featured What’s going on with the anti-Corbyn plot?

    What’s going on with the anti-Corbyn plot?

    “You up? Call me, I have a big story for you.” That was the text I received just after one o’clock this morning. Within minutes, it was public that Hilary Benn had been sacked as Shadow Foreign Secretary. That began a chain of events that, since Heidi Alexander’s resignation just after 8am, have moved at some breakneck speed. At the time of writing, eight Shadow Cabinet minister have gone: Hilary Benn, Heidi Alexander, Ian Murray, Seema Malhotra, Kerry McCarthy, Lilian Greenwood, […]

    Read more →
  • Featured News Labour is facing “political oblivion” with Corbyn as leader – Labour MPs circulate anti-Corbyn letter to colleagues

    Labour is facing “political oblivion” with Corbyn as leader – Labour MPs circulate anti-Corbyn letter to colleagues

    Margaret Hodge, former minister, and Ann Coffey, MP for Stockport, have said that Labour is looking at “political oblivion” with Jeremy Corbyn as leader, in a letter that has been circulated around the Parliamentary Party. The two Labour MPs submitted a motion of no confidence against Corbyn after they said he didn’t give a clear enough message on the EU referendum. They have hit out at the leader again in a letter (below) and said that Corbyn is “standing in […]

    Read more →
x

LabourList Daily Email

Everything Labour. Every weekday morning

Share with your friends










Submit