ICM, Jan 9: Con 40, Lab 30, LD 18

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982

In an ICM poll for tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph, Labour has increased its share of the voting intention by one point, with the Tories still stuck on 40%.

The gap between the two main parties is now 10 points.

With another four months to go before the expected general election date of May 6th, the poll would give the Tories a majority of 8: they would have 329 seats to Labour’s 251, according to the UK Polling Report’s Swing Calculator.

Still winnable on those numbers.

But the poll results suggest that David Cameron is more likely to be trusted by voters on the three key issues of the NHS (43% to Brown’s 35%), schools (46% to 34%) and the economy (43% to 36%).