YouGov, Jan 7: Con 42, Lab 30, LD 16

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982

Labour has taken a minor hit in the first post Hoon-Hewitt poll, slipping by a point as the Tories rose by two compared with another poll conducted by the same group earlier in the week.

It’s not too drastic in the circumstances but the YouGov poll shows the Tories rising to 42%, Labour down to 30% and the Lib Dems on 16%. Any bounce from the Tories’ weak start to the campaign, however, has certainly been lost – and it may be too soon to judge the full damage of this week’s news.

Transferred broadly to a general election using the UK Polling Report Swing Calculator, these numbers would give the Tories a majority of 62, with 356 seats to Labour’s 235.