
By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982
A new ICM poll for today’s Sunday Telegraph shows the Tories down one point to 39%, with Labour gaining one point and raising to 30%. The Lib Dems are up two points to 20%.
The new numbers indicate that a hung parliament is likely, with the Tories 14 seats short of a working majority.
It is the first ICM poll to put the Conservatives below 40% since last June.
Follow the LabourList poll tracker here.


More from LabourList
Paul Nowak column: ‘Let celebrate this historic step on child poverty – and follow it with work and childcare reforms’
‘School readiness is rising – but so is the gap between poorer kids and their peers’
2026 mayoral elections to be postponed for two years – reports