By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982
UPDATE: Another poll for tomorrow’s papers, the YouGov daily tracker, apparently has: Con 38 (nc), Lab 33 (+1), LD 17 (nc). Translated to a general election on a uniform swing, that would also result in a hung parliament, with Labour on 298 seats to the Tories 284, and Labour 28 seats short of a working majority.
A new ICM poll for tomorrow’s News of the World shows the Tories back up three points to 40%, with Labour up one point to 31%. The Lib Dems are down two to 18%.
Translated uniformly to a general election, the new poll would result in a hung parliament, with the Tories 6 seats short of a working majority on 320 seats, and Labour on 260, according to the UK Polling Report’s Swing Calculator.
Below the topline, 57% of people said they expected to watch at least one of the live televised debates. 48% of people expect David Cameron to win the debates, while 23% think Gordon Brown will win and 12% say Nick Clegg. I expect the Lib Dems will be the ultimate winners from the TV debates, however, due to an unusual level of exposure.
More from LabourList
Local elections fallout deepens as PM takes thinly veiled swipe at left MPs and Labour loses Doncaster council
‘To beat Reform, Labour must focus on places that are struggling most’
‘Reform have won mayoralties. Can it deliver in them?’