Poll List: New polls show Labour as the biggest party in a hung parliament

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982

Two new polls tonight show Labour as potentially becoming the biggest party in a hung parliament after the general election.

A new Ipsos-Mori poll for tomorrow’s Mirror has the Tory lead at 5%, with their vote share down two points at 35%, Labour’s down two points on 30% and the Lib Dems up two points to 21%.

Translated on a uniform swing to a general election, those numbers would deliver a hung parliament with Labour on 289 seats to the Tories’ 272 seats. Labour would be 37 seats short of a working majority in those circumstances, according to the UK Polling Report’s Swing Calculator.

Meanwhile, YouGov’s daily tracker shows the Conservatives up one point to 37%, Labour up one point on 33% and the Lib Dems on 18%, which translates to a hung parliament, with Labour as the biggest party but 25 seats short of a working majority.