Labour could gain nearly 30 seats and force a series of key losses on Theresa May to leave Britain with a hung parliament, a new poll reveals.
Jeremy Corbyn could add around 28 MPs to Labour’s current total of 229 and deprive the Tories of an overall majority, according to a shock survey published today.
May’s party would fall back from 330 seats at the time parliament was dissolved to 310, well short of overall majority.
If the projection – carried out by YouGov for The Times – was to be replicated on June 8 then it would raise the prospect of another Tory-Lib Dem coalition.
The poll was carried out after May’s humiliation over manifesto plans for a “dementia tax” which prompted a revolt by her MPs and candidates in marginals and then, ultimately, a u-turn.
It is the first constituency-by-constituency estimate of the election result to be carried out by YouGov.
YouGov projects for The Times (actual number of seats at the time of dissolution)
Conservative: 310 seats (330).
Labour: 257 (229)
SNP: 50 (54)
NI: 18 (18)
Lib Dems: 10 (9)
Plaid Cymru: 3 (3)
Greens: 1 (1)
Other: 1 (1)
UKIP: 0 (1)
More from LabourList
What are Labour MPs reading, watching and listening to this Christmas?
‘Musk’s possible Reform donation shows we urgently need…reform of donations’
Full list of new Labour peers set to join House of Lords