No deal hard Brexit could cost Britain 500,000 jobs, warns Sadiq Khan

Almost 500,000 million British jobs could be lost if Theresa May walks away from the EU without a deal, Sadiq Khan said today.

The London mayor published new research saying that a “no deal hard Brexit” could mean 87,000 fewer jobs in the capital alone as well as delivering a £50bn hit to the British economy.

The study, commissioned from analysts Cambridge Econometrics by Khan, considered the impact of five different Brexit scenarios on London and the nation.

It said that a “no deal” outcome could lead to a lost decade – or even longer –  of significantly lower growth, with Britain having 500,000 fewer jobs in the worst-case scenario and nearly £50bn less investment by 2030 than would otherwise have been the case.

Wes Streeting, Ilford North MP and leading supporter of Open Britain, said: “Paying for world class public services means we need a healthy and strong economy and not just in London. Brexit and leaving the single market and customs union puts any hope of well-funded schools and hospitals and police on our streets under immediate and serious threat.”

Although the study claimed that every Brexit outcome would be bad for the British economy, London would be spared the worst of the pain.

Economic output across the rest of Britain could be on average between 3 per cent and 3.3 per cent lower by 2030 than if it remained inside the single market and customs union compared with between 1.9 per cent and 2.1 per cent down in London, it said.

More from LabourList

DONATE HERE

Do you value LabourList’s coverage? We need your support.

Our independent journalists have been on the ground during this local and by-election campaign, which marks the first key electoral test of Keir Starmer’s government. 

We’ve been out and about with Labour activists and candidates across the country from Bristol to Hull, and will soon be heading to Cambridgeshire and Lancashire – as well as Runcorn and Helsby. We’ve also polled readers for their views on the campaign.

LabourList relies on donations from readers like you to continue its fair, fast, reliable and well-informed news and analysis. We don’t have party funding or billionaire owners. 

If you value what we do, set up a regular donation today.

DONATE HERE