Cameron’s Miserable performance over Europe

14th January, 2013 3:56 pm

It’s here. The moment we’ve all been waiting for. After months of teasers and trailers in the print and broadcast media, we can now see the full show.

But that’s enough about Les Miserables. Next week David Cameron gives his much hyped speech on Europe.

Cameron thinks he is master of the house and can dictate terms to Europe’s 26 other leaders (soon to be 27), but is he dreaming a dream?

It can’t be an easy job being David Cameron. He’s got eurosceptics behind him, europhobes to the right and he’s stuck in the Cabinet with Eric Pickles. No doubt he wishes he could escape to a castle on a cloud.

Despite all the hype and attention, Cameron has said remarkably little. As he head for the confrontation there are five key questions he needs to answer:

Exactly which powers does he wish to repatriate?
Cameron has been suspiciously vague on this, but some of his backbenchers offer a glimpse of what we might expect. We hear vague references to pulling out of the Social Chapter and specific calls for an opt out of the Working Time Directive. Both would be hugely damaging to millions of workers up and down this country. Currently the Tories can claim public support for some repatriation. I suspect that if workers realised exactly what that means to their jobs, pay and conditions, that support will plummet.

What other elements of our relationship does he wish to change?
Cameron also talks about distancing Britain from other parts of the European Union and a number of his backbenchers have mentioned trade and foreign affairs. The European Commission negotiates trade deals on behalf of EU Member States which have made a significant contribution to EU GDP. The proposed EU-US trade deal alone could add 2% to Europe’s GDP. Does Cameron seriously think the US or others would be interested in such deals with the UK alone were we to leave the world’s largest single market? As for foreign affairs, the Obama administration made clear its view last week when it said that the special relationship depends on a United Kingdom at the heart of Europe. Our voice on the world stage is strengthened by our position in the EU.

When does he plan to hold a referendum?
It is pretty clear that Cameron plans to promise a referendum. I doubt this will do much good with either his backbenchers or his voters, after all he’s promised it before. Nonetheless he must be clear when he plans to hold such a referendum. It is widely believed to be in the next Parliament, but this assumes other EU leaders decide to introduce the treaty changes he relies on as his bargaining chip. Europe doesn’t do anything quickly and now the worst of the crisis seems to be over a new mood of complacency has returned to Europe’s capitals. What if treaty change is put off for the foreseeable future? Will Cameron hold a referendum anyway on our current terms? What if the crisis flares up again, will he hold a referendum in the middle of economic chaos across the continent?

What happens if other leaders say no?
This is the million euro question that no one on the Tory benches seems able or willing to answer. I find it extremely unlikely that Hollande, Merkel or even close Cameron allies such as Mark Rutte in the Netherlands will be remotely inclined to agree to British demands to extricate itself from the responsibilities of the single market while continuing to reap the benefits. Will he hold a referendum anyway? Will he pull us out?

How does he plan to reassure businesses worried about investing in the UK?
While all this is going on over the next few years, businesses are expressing private – and increasingly public – concerns about what this might mean for their future in Britain. 3 million British jobs depend on our membership of the European Union. We have a thriving car manufacturing industry based here because of our access to a single market of 500,000 consumers. Will General Motors be so keen to build their new Astra at the Vauxhall plant in Ellesmere Port in my region if we’re no longer a member of the EU? 2,800 jobs at the plant and thousands in the supply chain would be under threat.

Eric Pickles said something that no doubt Hollande and Merkel would agree with – Britain’s continued membership of the EU won’t come at any price. At the end of the day Cameron may find himself on his own surrounded by empty chairs at empty tables.

  • David B

    What is the Labour parties stance, stay in as we are, get full in and join the Euro as is being suggest by a number of the pro Europeans in all three parties, renegotiate terms of membership with no further integration (or deeper integration) or have a big group hug and hope everyone will agree with Ed.

    Europe is a big problem in both Labour and Conservatives, while the Lib Dems try and hide their true feelings (look at the in/out referendum pledge in the last manifesto), but the public have lost confidence in politicians ability to deal with Europe (in all parties) and this will become a creeping issue that will have to be addressed by all the parties
    eventually

  • http://twitter.com/christof_ff christof_ff

    Good piece, but I wonder – how many Britons (other than those actually attending the summits & state banquets) really give a stuff about Britain’s ‘place in the world’?
    Am I a rarity in that I don’t really care?

  • postageincluded

    This performance is going to be as succesful as as magician showing his audience the rabbit up his sleeve before he pretends to pull it out of his hat.

  • uglyfatbloke

    Why should n’t he be crap,on Europe – he’s crap on everything else.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Graeme-Hancocks/1156294498 Graeme Hancocks

    “500,000 consumers”? Think some zeros missing. More like 500,000,000. Otherwise good article…totally agree.

  • Pingback: Cameron's Miserable performance over Europe()

Latest

  • Featured News Burnham shows early lead, while deputy leader race starts as dead heat

    Burnham shows early lead, while deputy leader race starts as dead heat

    Leader The leadership contest is starting to heat up, with MPs from all over the party coming out in support of one candidate or another. There are currently four people in the race: Andy Burnham, Yvette Cooper, Mary Creagh and Liz Kendall. Burnham has been widely tipped as the favourite to win but the result is by no means a foregone conclusion. And whether they can make it onto the ballot all depends on if they can secure the sought […]

    Read more →
  • Featured News Andy Burnham says he won’t take money from unions to fund his leadership campaign

    Andy Burnham says he won’t take money from unions to fund his leadership campaign

    Since he announced he’d be standing to be leader, Andy Burnham has been dubbed as the candidate who’ll get the backing of most of the unions. However, he has announced that he won’t be taking any money from the unions to fund his campaign. Burnham said that so far he has not been offered any money from the unions, but even if it was he would encourage that they give it to the party to help “assist the rebuilding after […]

    Read more →
  • Comment No more abstract nouns, we need to start talking about the real world

    No more abstract nouns, we need to start talking about the real world

    At rapid pace since Labour’s catastrophic defeat a fortnight ago, my inbox has been pinging with explanations about why we lost and what we should do next. I wonder if one of our problems isn’t that it’s too easy to do just what I’m doing now, to publish one’s solitary thoughts about the future of the party. Where words in ever greater numbers flow so quickly all around us, it is possible to imagine the Labour Party’s problem can be […]

    Read more →
  • News “There was no scandal” – Chuka Umunna reveals why he dropped out of the leadership race

    “There was no scandal” – Chuka Umunna reveals why he dropped out of the leadership race

    Last Friday Chuka Umunna dropped out of the Labour leadership. For quite some time the Shadow Business Secretary and MP for Streatham had been tipped as the next leader and so his withdrawal caused quite a stir. Today he has e-mailed his constituents to explain his reasons for bowing out of the contest. Rumours swirled that there perhaps a scandal was set to break in the Sunday papers, which had forced Umunna to step back from the race. He said […]

    Read more →
  • News What does Liz Kendall believe?

    What does Liz Kendall believe?

    Liz Kendall today made a short speech to the Westminster’s journalists at the Press Gallery Lunch, setting out ideas on a range of subjects. Below are some of the most notable quotes from the speech, which can be read in full here. Education Kendall indicated that under her Labour’s stance on free schools could be less absolute: “As leader, I’m not going to waste time obsessing about school structures. If a school is providing a great education – whether it’s a […]

    Read more →
Share with your friends










Submit