By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982
* The Guardian has a list of every ICM poll result since 1984.
* Gus O’Donnell has denied warning Gordon Brown over his behaviour at Number 10.
* A car bomb has exploded in Northern Ireland overnight.
* At a speech to Progress later today, Jim Muprhy will say Labour “must win” the “religious vote”.
* Gordon Brown will give evidence to the Chilcot Inquiry next Friday.
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