With the inclusion of ComRes, Populus and YouGov, our trend shows – for the first time – the Lib Dems achieving a higher national popular vote share than the Labour Party. At this stage it seems sensible to point out that the overall trend for Labour has been largely unchanged by the Liberal Democrat bump. What has changed is that the Tory trend line, which was heading back upwards when the campaign began, had flatlined, and is now decidedly dropping.
The totals expected on May 6th now stand at Con 35%, Lab 27%, LD 28%:



More from LabourList
‘Young people are doing everything right – so why are we shutting them out?’
WATCH: Expert economist MP reacts to Budget 2026
Labour members back Budget but split over Rosebank, exclusive poll reveals