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With the inclusion of ComRes, Populus and YouGov, our trend shows – for the first time – the Lib Dems achieving a higher national popular vote share than the Labour Party. At this stage it seems sensible to point out that the overall trend for Labour has been largely unchanged by the Liberal Democrat bump. What has changed is that the Tory trend line, which was heading back upwards when the campaign began, had flatlined, and is now decidedly dropping.
The totals expected on May 6th now stand at Con 35%, Lab 27%, LD 28%:
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