Why did Labour win the 2010 local elections so convincingly? It’s the budget right? This graph of polling from TNS BMRB certainly suggests that. Labour’s slim lead extends rapidly following the budget (highlighted) – and current stands at 12 points (42/30).
And as for why Labour did better in 2012 compared to the 2011 elections – just compare May and May 2012.
A year is a long time in politics…



More from LabourList
Lord Hayward: Disappointing May elections could decide Keir Starmer’s fate
LabourList Christmas quiz 2025 round 5: factions and unions picture round
LabourList Christmas quiz 2025 round 4: Christmas Connects