Scottish referendum: latest YouGov poll shows ‘yes’ with two-point lead

YouGov have released their latest polling data carried out for the Sunday Times, which finds that the ‘Yes’ campaign has a two-point lead.

With 12 days to go until the referendum, Yes are now leading with 51% to No at 49% (this is when the ‘don’t know’ vote is excluded). This gives the Yes vote a four point surge from YouGov’s poll last week (and means No has fallen from 53% to 49%)  and makes it the first time the Yes vote has taken the lead.

UPDATE: Panelbase (a polling company that usually favour the Yes) has the No vote ahead, 52 to the Yes vote’s 48.

Meanwhile, in reaction to the YouGov poll Alistair Darling has released the following statement:

“The polls may conflict, but the message I take from them is clear: If you want Scotland to remain part of the UK family you have to vote for it on 18 September. Separation is forever. These polls can and must now serve as a wake-up call to anyone who thought the referendum result was a foregone conclusion. It never was.  It will go down to the wire. Now is the time to speak up and speak out.

“We are hitting the streets, knocking on the doors, making the calls in unprecedented numbers and we are hearing the people of Scotland respond positively to our vision of Scotland securing the best of both worlds. That means more powers for Scotland without taking on all the risks of separation.

“We relish this battle. It is not the Battle of Britain – it is the battle for Scotland, for Scotland’s children and grandchildren and the generations to come. This is a battle we will win.”

We’ll keep you updated with any further developments.