Labour moves into seven point poll lead with Opinium

After a mixed (at best) week of polling for Labour, the year may be ending on a high note, with Opinium’s poll for the Observer putting the party seven points ahead of the Tories. In the past month (including the period since the Autumn Statement) Labour’s vote share has increased from 34 points to 36, whilst the Tories are unchanged on 29 points.

In terms of leadership ratings, Cameron still leads – but the gap is narrowing. Whilst the Labour leader was 22 points behind the Prime Minister last month, the gap is now 17 points.

This poll follows polling from ICM that gave Labour a 5 point lead, but also an Ipsos-Mori poll that put Labour 3 points behind the Tories and back on the 29% voteshare received under Gordon Brown. There will be another poll tonight from YouGov, which may make the picture a little clearer.

Update: YouGov have Labour on a two point lead – but that’s down from a five point lead on Frday:

LAB – 34% (-1)
CON – 32% (+2)
UKIP – 15% (-1)
GRN – 8% (-)
LDEM – 6% (-)