66% of people think Jeremy Corbyn would be unlikely to help Labour secure a win at the next general election, according to a poll for The Independent.
ORB conducted a survey of 2000 people for the paper, in which 34% thought Corbyn was likely to win a majority at the next general election.
They also asked respondents which of the four candidates they thought would most improve Labour’s chances in 2020. Although Andy Burnham secured the highest percentage of the vote – one point ahead of Corbyn – none of the candidates were seen as a huge electoral bonus:
Andy Burnham 30%, Jeremy Corbyn 29%, Yvette Cooper 23%, Liz Kendall 19%
However, when asked which candidate would harm Labour’s chances in 2020, the biggest number, almost half, said Corbyn – while all the other candidates scored relatively low:
Jeremy Corbyn 48%, Yvette Cooper 19%, Liz Kendall 17%, Andy Burnham 16%
ORB also found Corbyn is more likely to be seen as an electoral asset by younger adults; 39% of 25-34 year-olds said he would improve Labour’s chances. However, among 45-58 year olds 58% said he would harm the party’s changes, while 69% of those over the age of 65 said the same.
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