The Labour party is projected to win a landslide general election victory on a scale not seen for decades, according to the closely watched exit poll.
The poll, conducted by Ipsos MORI for the BBC, ITV and Sky News, forecasts Keir Starmer’s Labour will win 410 seats, and a majority of around 170 seats.
The result, if it proves accurate, would grant Labour a significant majority in the House of Commons, where 326 is the magic number of seats needed for a majority of two to get government business through.
Exit poll suggests Labour have won a landslide victory with an overall majority of around 170 seats. The Conservatives are likely to record their lowest ever number of seats and share of the vote in a general election since 1832https://t.co/ZWRKcmYUCX pic.twitter.com/J4Sl2g8FbK
— ITV News (@itvnews) July 4, 2024
READ MORE: Live updates and analysis on Labour’s general election night so far
The Tories are forecast to win just 131 seats, down 241 on 2019. The Lib Dems are forecast to win 61 and Reform 13, with the SNP on just 1o – down 38 in a huge blow for the governing party at Holyrood.
The exit poll is only a forecast of what the result is likely to be in the election, with no constituencies yet declaring their official results.
While recent exit polls have been broadly accurate in predicting the final result, they have proven wrong in the past.
Infamously, in 1992, the exit poll suggested the likeliest outcome was a hung parliament with the Conservatives short by 25 seats. However, Conservative Prime Minister John Major defied the odds and secured a majority of 21.
More recently in 2015, the exit poll forecast the Conservatives would be short of a majority by 10 seats, but the Tories ended up securing a majority of 10 seats.
READ MORE: Full list and map of Labour gains, holds, losses, new MPs (live from midnight)
Read more of our 2024 general election coverage:
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Sheffield Hallam: ‘Can Labour’s Olivia Blake hold on in Nick Clegg’s old seat?’
Battle of the bar charts in Wimbledon: Inside a rare election three-horse race
Could Labour take ‘non-battleground’ Tory seats across the South West?
Meet NHS doctor Zubir Ahmed, fighting one of Scotland’s tightest marginals
Brighton Pavilion: As Starmer visits, can Labour win the Greens’ one seat?
Labour wants a new generation of new towns. Can it win in Milton Keynes?
Meet Gordon McKee, the 29-year-old son of a welder vying for Glasgow South
‘How can I help Labour this election? The party insider’s guide to campaigning’
Revealed: The battlegrounds attracting most activists as 17,000 sign up
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