Why did Labour win the 2010 local elections so convincingly? It’s the budget right? This graph of polling from TNS BMRB certainly suggests that. Labour’s slim lead extends rapidly following the budget (highlighted) – and current stands at 12 points (42/30).
And as for why Labour did better in 2012 compared to the 2011 elections – just compare May and May 2012.
A year is a long time in politics…
There was some disagreement earlier this year when a Fabian Society report suggested that Labour would need the support of non-voters to get 40% of the vote. Some said that wouldn’t happen and some suggested it was wishful thinking Yet a poll today carried out by Survation as part of the Lodestone Political Survey found that 56% of those who didn’t vote in 2010 said that they would probably vote if an election was held tomorrow. And othey’re far more likely […]
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Jon Cruddas was speaking at Coin Street today to launch the IPPR interim report on The Condition of Britain. It’s likely to be a key part of Labour’s policy review. Here’s what he said: Thank you Coin Street for hosting us today. The Condition of Britain programme is important to our country. It is important to the policy review I am leading. It is important to Labour’s One Nation politics. And it is also to me personally. So I’d like to […]
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The Lib Dems have been a bit more sheepish about campaigning in the past few years, but with local elections in May, their questionable bar charts were always going to return. This one is a corker… (h/t: Richard Osley) If you’ve seen any of these in your local area, share them with us on Twitter…
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The deadline for submissions to the Collins Review is less than two weeks away, the process – most likely to end in some form of complex compromise – is coming to a close. That’s no bad thing. There’s little to be gained here from one section of the party trampling over another just a year before an election. Compromise isn’t a dirty word. But there’s been a lack of debate within the party about what party reform should actually look […]
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Here are some things that have happened over the last week: On Sunday, news broke of the list of people who had been prepared by Spencer Livermore and Douglas Alexander to be consulted about how to win the next general election. I have written elsewhere about some of the problems inherent in this list, but absolutely key is that it contained no women. None of the people deemed worthy of meeting are female. And no one picked up on this. […]
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