Forget the hype, here is the reality of Labour’s local election performance in the Corbyn era

2nd March, 2016 1:03 pm

Gedling-victory-150x150

Back in December I compiled a review of all the local authority by-election results since Jeremy Corbyn’s election as Labour leader.

It’s important to be consistent in presenting such data, and provide it regularly and in the same format so you can’t selectively pick results that reinforce the narrative you might personally believe in.

So in the same format as I presented them in December, here is the change in Labour vote share in all the council by-elections where there has been a Labour candidate (and there was a Labour candidate in the previous contest so a comparison can be made) in January and February, grouped by region so you can see the regional pattern.

 

Eastern (average Labour vote share -4.7%)

Bottisham (East Cambridgeshire) -6.1%

Bushey N (Hertfordshire) -2.1%

Newmarket & Red Lodge (Suffolk) -5.9%

 

East Midlands (average -6.4%)

Greasley (Broxtowe) -3.4%

Measham S (NW Leicestershire) -12.3%

Toton & Chilwell Meadows (Broxtowe) -3.4%

 

London (average -0.3%)

Cranford (Hounslow) no change

Faraday (Southwark) -0.6%

 

North (average +2.3%)

Botcherby (Carlisle) +0.4%

Hexham W (Northumberland) -0.3%

Parkfield & Oxbridge (Stockton-on-Tees) +6.7%

 

North West (average +5.7%)

Crompton (Bolton) +10.5%

Higher Blackley (Manchester) +10.5%

Thatto Heath (St Helens) -3.8%

 

Scotland

Hamilton N & E (S Lanarkshire) -9.4%

 

South East (average -3.6%)

Amersham Town (Chiltern) -7.6%

Newington (Thanet) +1.3%

West End North (Eastleigh) -4.4%

 

South West

No by-elections

 

Wales

New Brighton (Flintshire) -2.5%

 

West Midlands (average +4.3%)

Chadsmead (Lichfield) +1.6%

Kingswinford N & Wall Heath (Dudley) +7.7%

Lower Stoke (Coventry) +10.5%

Oswestry S (Shropshire) +9%

St James’s (Dudley) +1.3%

Studley with Sambourne (Stratford-on-Avon) -4.5%

 

Yorkshire & Humberside

No by-elections

 

This is a small sample of wards but compared to the pre-Christmas period we seem to be performing better in the North, North West and West Midlands but worse in the East, East Midlands, London and the South East. The single Scottish result is in line with the bad results at the end of last year.

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