Poll List: Four new polls point to a hung parliament

By Alex Smith / @alexsmith1982

There is a slew of new polls tonight.

ComRes for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror shows the Tories down one point since Wednesday to 34%, the Lib Dems up two points to 29%, and Labour up three points to 28%. Translated on a uniform swing to the election, those numbers would deliver a hung parliament, with Labour the biggest party but 47 seats short of a working majority on 268 seats, the Tories on 258 and the Lib Dems on 93 seats.

Ipsos-Mori for the News of the World shows the Tories up four points since yesterday to 36%, Labour up two to 30% and the Lib Dems down nine points to 23%. Translated on a uniform swing, that would deliver a hung parliament, with Labour 46 seats short of a working majority on 280 seats, the Tories on 276 and the Lib Dems on 63.

ICM for the Sunday Telegraph shows the Tories up two points since last week to 35%, the Lib Dems up one point to 31% and Labour down two points to 26%. Translated on a uniform swing, those numbers would deliver a hung parliament, with the Tories 50 seats short of a working majority on 276 seats, Labour on 235 and the Lib Dems on 108.

YouGov‘s daily tracker shows the Tories up one point since last night on 35%, the Lib Dems unchanged on 29% and Labour down two to 27%. That would deliver a hung parliament with the Tories 48 seats short of a majority on 278 seats, Labour on 250 and the Lib Dems on 91.

All swing calculations are based on the UK Polling Report Swing Calculator.