Labour have a three point lead over the Tories across the 50 most marginal Tory-held seats, a poll as found.
On behalf of ITV News, ComRes have looked at these 50 seats, where Labour came second in 2010 and found that Labour are on 40% in these seats, in comparison to the Tories’ 37%.
ComRes say that’s a 3.5 swing from Tory to Labour and if translated into a “uniform swing” in all these seats, Labour would win 40 of them.
| Labour | 40% |
| Conservative | 37% |
| UKIP | 11% |
| Lib Dem | 5% |
| Green | 5% |
| Other | 2% |
Yet this same polling also shows the Tories message about a Labour deal with the SNP might be having an affect, as 47% of voters in these seats want the SNP to be kept out of government. Meanwhile 58% say they’re worried about the SNP’s influence over a Labour government, and 28% of Labour voters in these seats want to keep the SNP out of government.
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