Labour have a three point lead over the Tories across the 50 most marginal Tory-held seats, a poll as found.
On behalf of ITV News, ComRes have looked at these 50 seats, where Labour came second in 2010 and found that Labour are on 40% in these seats, in comparison to the Tories’ 37%.
ComRes say that’s a 3.5 swing from Tory to Labour and if translated into a “uniform swing” in all these seats, Labour would win 40 of them.
| Labour | 40% |
| Conservative | 37% |
| UKIP | 11% |
| Lib Dem | 5% |
| Green | 5% |
| Other | 2% |
Yet this same polling also shows the Tories message about a Labour deal with the SNP might be having an affect, as 47% of voters in these seats want the SNP to be kept out of government. Meanwhile 58% say they’re worried about the SNP’s influence over a Labour government, and 28% of Labour voters in these seats want to keep the SNP out of government.
More from LabourList
‘It was the best of times, it was the worst of times… my first four months as Editor’
‘Labour have a credible path to ending Britain’s dependence on food banks and have taken the first steps along it’
‘Ending homelessness must be Labour’s moral mission — and this time we must finish the job’