In March and December I reviewed Labour’ s performance in local council by-elections.
The leadership election result and annual conference mark a natural break-point so here, in the same format as I presented them in December and March, is the change in Labour vote share in all the council by-elections where there has been a Labour candidate in the last two contests (so a comparison can be drawn) since the main council elections in May. The results are grouped by region so you can see the pattern around the country.
The picture is a lot more mixed than might have been expected given the political turmoil within the party during this period, with Labour improving its position in London, North West and West Midlands; stable in the North, South East and Yorkshire; and doing worse in the East of England, East Midlands, Scotland, South West and Wales. However, of a total of 80 by-elections during this period Labour’s vote share was down in 51 of the contests.
Eastern (average Labour vote share down 4.8%)
Adeyfield West (Dacorum) -8.7%
Astley (North Norfolk) -11.3%
Basildon Laindon Park & Fryerns -3.7%
Carlford (Suffolk) +4.1%
Glaven Valley (North Norfolk) -2.8%
Hadleigh (Suffolk) +5.8%
High Town (Luton) -13.4%
Puckeridge (East Hertfordshire) -8.9%
East Midlands (average Labour vote share down 8.6%)
Allestree (Derby) -5.8%
Bingham (Nottinghamshire) -7%
Cherry Willingham (West Lindsay) +0.6%
Cranmer (Rushcliffe) -7%
Finedon (Wellingborough) -7.7%
South (North East Lincolnshire) -6.2%
Tupton (North East Derbyshire) -32.4%
Westone (Northampton) -7.6%
Yeoman Hill (Mansfield) -4.5%
London (average Labour vote share up 1.7%)
Barnsbury (Islington) -4.1%
Bellingham (Lewisham) +2.8%
Carshalton Central (Sutton) -3.1%
Forest Gate North (Newham) -5%
Gipsy Hill (Lambeth) -23.6%
Hackney Central (Hackney) +11.2%
Harringay (Haringey) +3.7%
St Hellier (Merton) +11.5%
St Michael’s (Bexley) +11.5%
Surrey Docks (Southwark) +0.4%
Tooting (Wandsworth) +13.7%
North (average Labour vote share up 0.7%)
Castle (Carlisle) +9.2%
Chopwell & Rowlands Gill (Gateshead) -3.7%
Christchurch (Allerdale) +5.8%
Coulby Newham (Middlesborough) +7.8%
Grangefield (Stockton-on-Tees) -5.5%
Ormesby (Redcar) -9.4%
North West (average Labour vote share up 3%)
Chorley Rural North (Lancashire) +2.1%
Parkside (Barrow-in-Furness) -3%
Tyldesley (Blackpool) +10%
Scotland (average Labour vote share down 6.6%)
Coatbridge North & Glenboig (North Lanarkshire) -11.3%
Irvine West (North Ayrshire) -7.1%
Renfrew South & Gallowhill (Renfrewshire) -8.5%
The Lochs (Fife) +0.7%
South East (average Labour vote share up 0.2%)
Adderbury, Bloxham & Bodicote (Cherwell) -0.3%
Beaver (Ashford) -3.3%
East Brighton (Brighton & Hove) +11.1%
Farnham South (Surrey) -4.9%
Gravesham East (Kent) -4.8%
Leatherhead North (Mole Valley) -5.7%
Lewes Bridge (Lewes) -1.8%
Newington (Thanet) +1.9%
Northwood (Thanet) -2.3%
Pelham (Gravesham) -4.1%
Shepway South (Maidstone) -8.3%
Southcote (Reading) +21.4%
Sunninghill & South Ascot (Windsor) +13.3%
The Hangers & Forest (East Hampshire) -9.7%
South West (average Labour vote share down 2.7%)
Amesbury East (Wiltshire) -3.6%
Ferndown (Dorset) -6.1%
Four Lanes (Cornwall) – 5.7%
Kinson North (Bournemouth) +11.2%
Newlyn & Goonhavern (Cornwall) -2.2
Newquay Treviglas (Cornwall) -7.4%
Sherborne Rural (Dorset) +1.2%
Teignmouth Central (Teignbridge) -8.7%
Wales (average Labour vote share down 9.3%)
Brynmawr (Blaenau Gwent) -0.4%
Dyserth (Denbighshire) -25.2%
Mostyn (Conwy) +2.1%
Plasnewydd (Cardiff) -2%
Rhoose (Vale of Glamorgan) -10.1%
St Julians (Newport) -20.3%
West Midlands (average Labour vote share up 11.3%)
Arley & Whiteacre (North Warwickshire) +33.7%
Droitwich West (Wychavon) -14.6%
Great Wyrley Town (South Staffordshire) +5.5%
Silverdale & Parksite (Newcastle under Lyme) +19.5%
Stapenhill (East Staffordshire) +12.5%
Yorkshire & Humberside (average Labour vote share down 0.2%)
Byram & Brotherton (Selby) -4.4%
South East Holderness (East Riding of Yorkshire) +7.9%
Mosborough (Sheffield) -9.2%
Northallerton (North Yorkshire) +0.7%
Northallerton South (Hambleton) -4.8%
Wibsey (Bradford) +8.9%
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